| Fargo�s **8** MLB NLCS GM3 DOMINATOR **82% ANGLE** | ||
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| Fargo is coming off a Game One setback with the Dodgers Thursday but is sill on a solid roll as he is on runs of 9-6 (60%) his last 15 and 17-11 (60.7%) in his last 28 MLB Premium Reports! The playoffs resume Sunday with the NLCS GM3 and Matt has your Phillies/Dodgers winning ticket backed by a TREMENDOUS 27-6 (81.8%) Power Situation! The run on the diamonds continues! |
Sunday, October 18, 2009
Expert MLB Playoff Picks - Phillies Dodgers
Thursday, September 3, 2009
Thursday's Free MLB Baseball Picks
| MLB | Sep 03 Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays -117 at 5DIMES | > 4h. |
| 1* Take the Tampa Bay Rays on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Rays are 6-1 in David Price's (7-6, 4.63 ERA) last 7 starts when pitching with 4 days rest. The Rays are also a perfect 6-0 in Price's last 6 starts against an AL East division opponent and he has also pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.79. The Red Sox are just 0-8 in Clay Buchholz's (3-3, 4.38 ERA) last 8 road starts against a team with a winning record and they are just 8-17 in his last 25 starts overall. Take the Tampa Bay Rays as my MLB Free Play for Thursday night. Vernon Croy starts off his 2009 College Football campaign with a solid point spread winner in the Thursday night ESPN featured game between the Gamecocks and Wolfpack. Get on it now! | ||
Saturday, August 29, 2009
Saturday's Free MLB Picks
| MLB | Aug 29 Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners -127 at 5DIMES | > 10h. |
| Seattle is 6-1 their last games as home favorites and they are 20-7 games as favorites of -110 to -150. The Mariners are 29-12 their last 41 games as favorites and they are 14-4 their last 18 meetings with the Royals in Seattle. Kansas City is 16-33 their last 49 road games and they are 4-15 their last 19 games vs. AL West teams. The Royals are 5-11 in the last 16 starts made by Gil Meche and they are 4-11 their last 15 road games vs. teams with a winning record. PLAY ON SEATTLE - vs. Meche | ||
| MLB | Aug 29 Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Total 8 un+102 at 5DIMES | > 7h. |
| Free Play for 8/29/09 1 Unit on Braves/Phillies UNDER 8 I expect a duel from Lowe and Lee to keep this one under. Lee has a ridiculous 0.37 ERA over his last 3 starts and Lowe is 5-2 lifetime against the Phillies with an ERA of 2.62. Atlanta is 16-4 UNDER when playing on Saturday this season and 25-9 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher who throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is also 5-0 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings. Bet the Under. | ||
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
Tuesday's Free MLB Sports Picks
| MLB | Aug 25 Arizona D-Backs vs. San Francisco Giants | Total 7 un-125 at BOOKM | > 5h. |
| A pair of lousy offensive teams meet, and a pair of aces on the hill. These teams rank 21 and 26 in baseball in runs scored. Arizona righty Dan Haren (12-8) doesn't wal anyone (26 in 174 innings) and averages close to 9 Ks per 9 innings. San Fran righty Matt Cain (12-4, 2.43 ERA) has really blossomed this season, with excellent control. Don't look for many runs, play the Diamondbacks/Giants Under the total. | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox | Chicago White Sox +270 at 5DIMES | > 2h. |
| 1* Take the Chicago White Sox on the Moneyline, We are getting solid value here Tuesday night with the White Sox who send Freddy Garcia (0-1, 10.38) to the mound since he is 7-2 over 14 career starts against the Red Sox. The White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games after a loss and they are also 6-1 in their last 7 games after allowing 10 or more runs in their previous game. The White Sox are 21-6 in their last 27 games in game 2 of a series and they are also a perfect 5-0 in Garcia's last 5 starts as an underdog including 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road dog. The Red Sox are just 7-17 in their last 24 games when playing a team with a winning record and there is simply too much value here to pass up Tuesday night so take the Chicago White Sox as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday night. Vernon Croy was 100% perfect yesterday with his premium plays and his 8-3 Run continues with his Tuesday Night MLB Smash that is backed by a 100% perfect angle! Get on it now! | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Arizona D-Backs vs. San Francisco Giants | Total 7 un-133 at 5DIMES | > 5h. |
| San Francisco is 40-19-4 UNDER their last 63 games vs. teams with a losing record. San Francisco is 7-1 UNDER their last 8 games as home favorites. The Giants are 10-1 UNDER with Matt Cain if he is off a quality start in his last outing. The Giants are 7-2-1 UNDER their last 10 meetings with Diamondbacks. Arizona is 29-14-2 UNDER their last 45 games as road underdogs and they are 4-1-1 UNDER following a day off. The Diamondbacks are 4-1-1 UNDER in the last 6 starts made by Dan Haren. The righthander has a 6-1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Cain vs. Haren) | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals | Cleveland Indians +1½-140 at SIA | > 3h. |
| Free Play for 8/25/09 1 Unit on Cleveland Indians +1.5 -140 Cleveland took down the Royals 10-6 last night and I like them again tonight as Greinke is being overvalued. There's no doubt that he's a fine pitcher, but the Indians are playing much better baseball right now and Greinke has not been getting any run support. In fact, the Royals are 1-8 in Greinke's last 9 starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts vs. the American League Central. KC is also 0-10 against the money line after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Royals. Masterson is coming off a gem against the Angels 5 days ago and I expect him to be good enough to get the win against the struggling Royals. | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Arizona D-Backs vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants -140 at BODOG | > 5h. |
| The Arizona Diamondbacks and San Francisco Giants square off in a three-game set at AT&T Park with the first game set for Tuesday night and a first pitch at 10:15PM Eastern Time. This will be the final series of a ten game road trip for the Diamondbacks who are 61-82 (-21.4) in road games the last 2 seasons and 2-8 (-7.8) after 7 or more consecutive road games this season. San Fran returns home off an eleven game road trip of their own. Arizona is 55-70 (-17.8) on the season overall and out of the playoff hunt while San Francisco is 6.5 games behind the division leading Dodgers and 3.5 back of second place Colorado with a record of 67-57 (+10.1). The Giants have been extremely tough at home posting a record of 39-20 (+15.5) this season. That�s not good news for this Arizona team as they are 42-68 (-29.6) when playing against a team with a winning record the last two seasons. The difference in the two teams can easily be explained when you see that San Fran is ranked 1 in pitching with an ERA of 3.53 with opponents hitting .237 and have an OBP of .312 against them. The Diamondbacks are ranked 15 in pitching with an ERA of 4.33 with opponents hitting .264 and have an OBP of .329 against them. At the plate we see much of the same with the Giants ranked 16 in hitting with a batting average of .261 averaging 4.0 runs per game with an OPS of .700. Arizona is ranked 28 in hitting with a batting average of .252 averaging 4.4 runs per game and an OPS of .742. The Diamondbacks have really struggled of late at the plate and we know they are 40-54 (-21.9) after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span the last 2 seasons. Arizona will send right-hander Dan Haren to the bump with his 12-8 record and ERA of 2.74. He has a record of 6-3 with a 3.41 ERA on the road this season but recently he has struggled. Haren is coming off a horrible performance at Philly in his last start where he pitched for 5 innings giving up 6 earned runs on 9 hits including three homeruns in an 8 to 1 loss. Prior to that start he won at home versus the Dodgers 4 to 1 but his previous road start saw him lose in Washington 5 to 2 throwing for 6 innings giving up 5 earned runs on 7 hits and two homeruns. The Giants will send right-hander Matt Cain to the hill with his 12-4 record and ERA of 2.43. When Cain takes the bump at home he is 6-2 with an ERA of 2.37 and the Giants are 10-2 in his 12 home starts this season. He lost his last start throwing for 8 innings in Cincinnati giving up 1 earned run on 8 hits with 3 strikeouts in a 2 to 1 loss. On the technical front we have two MLB Systems that are active for tonight�s game. The first tells us to Play AGAINST MLB (NL) road underdogs who allow 4.8 or more runs per game against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.000 or better over his last five starts. This system is 108-34 over the last five seasons for +49.1 units. The second system tells us to Play ON MLB (NL) favorites in this price range who average scoring 4.1 runs or less per game facing a starter whose ERA is 3.70 or better and a bullpen who has a WHIP of 1.350 or better on the season. This system has a record of 41-10 since 1997 for +27.6 units of profit. With significant support both fundamentally and technically for the host we will back them here as the Giants continue their pursuit of a playoff berth and the Diamondbacks begin their plans for the offseason. Graded Selection: 2* San Francisco Giants 3 Arizona Diamondbacks 1 | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Tampa Bay Rays -133 at BODOG | > 2h. |
| Tampa Bay @ Toronto 7:05 PM EST Play On: Tampa Bay (Shields/Cecil) Listed Tampa Bay is 68-56 on the season while Toronto comes in with a 57-66 overall record this year. Toronto is only 16-33 against division opponents this year. Tampa Bay has won 7 of their last 9 games overall. Toronto has lost 7 of their last 9 games overall. Tampa Bay bullpen has a 3.65 ERA overall this year and a 3.82 ERA on the road this season. James Shields has a 3.81 ERA overall this year. Tampa Bay has won 10 out of 13 games against Toronto this season. Tampa Bay is sitting 3 games behind Boston in the American League Wild Card race. It's getting down to must win games for this team. We'll recommend a small play on Tampa Bay tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Arizona D-Backs vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants -125 at 5DIMES | > 5h. |
| Free Play for August 25, 2009 1 Unit on San Francisco Giants -125 I know the Giants played a late one last night, but they'll be hungry to get back in the win column following their 3rd straight loss. Returning home and sending Matt Cain to the mound figures to be a winning recipe. Cain has been brilliant this season, especially at home, where the Giants have won 10 of his 12 starts and he has posted an ERA of 2.37. Haren had a great first half for the D-backs but he has started his normal late season slide. In fact, he's just 2-2 with a 5.88 ERA overall this month. The Diamondbacks are 1-9 in their last 10 road games and 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 in Cain's last 4 starts vs. the National League West. Bet the Giants. | ||
| NFL | Aug 29 Indianapolis Colts vs. Detroit Lions | Indianapolis Colts -3+100 at 5DIMES | > 3d. |
| The Colts lost their Preseason opener at home, 3-13, against Minnesota as starting QB Manning didn't see much playing time and back-up QB Sorgi was injured a few days before the game. Last week, Indianapolis rebounded with a solid 23-15 victory against a tough Eagles squad as QB Manning completed 10 of 14 passes for 2 Touchdowns and new back-up QB Curtis Painter looked much more comfortable while going 11 of 19 for a 116 yards. With only 4 games on the exhibition schedule, week # 3 will be the most action that QB Manning will see and he should shred the Detroit Lions defense, which allowed a Cleveland Browns squad that hadn't scored a TD in their previous games to put up 27 points on the scoreboard last Saturday! In fact, the Lions went 0-16 last season and their defense hasn't improved much as Atlanta scored 26 points during the first week of Preseason. Lay the points with the road Favored Colts as we find them at 6-1 ATS when playing their 3rd game of Preseason. 7* Play On Indianapolis | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals | Cleveland Indians +150 at SIA | > 3h. |
| 2-0 Smooth Tuesday's Pack...Siganture MLB 500* UnderDog Paid Bomb.... The Tribe stepping up & playing way better as of late, we note that the Indians a 60% winning prop the last 35 games. look at the 8.0 runs and .323 clip at the plate | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers -132 at 5DIMES | > 3h. |
| The Cincinnati Reds hung in the NL Central race for quite awhile, but they have totally fallen apart. The Reds are just 8-24 in their last 32 games and are going through experimentation right now, looking at prospects for next year. It has gotten so bad for the Reds that in their last 29 losses, they would be just 3-26 to a runline of +1.5. The Brewers have been outstanding behind Jeff Suppan. When the Brew Crew has allowed two runs or less in their previous game, they have turned in a 13-4 mark in that situation with Suppan on the bump. The Reds are heading nowhere, the lineup is cold and they are simply playing out the string. They have also dropped their last four games played in Milwaukee, and I think that goes to five tonight. I'm going with Milwaukee here. | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves | San Diego Padres +235 at SIA | > 2h. |
Ryan has massed another successful MLB campaign and here is his top rated 15* Total play for the month of August. This play, as is all of his releases, is reinforced by extensive game dependent information. Plus, you get a 5* Monster play on the same game FREE. Join him and win BIG! Ai Simulator 3* graded play on SD as they face the Braves set to start at 7:10 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 124-156 making 80 units since 1997. Play against home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 with a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season, in the second half of the season. The average play has been a +190 dog. This is analogous to playing Black Jack and being paid $1.90 for every winning $1.00 hand played. Based on this system you would have played 280 hands, won only 44% of them and still walked out with a whopping 80 dollar/per$ wagered profit. So, of course if you played $100 per hand you would be leaving with 8K. That will never happen at the casino, but this system will afford you that opportunity by playing MLB over the course of several seasons. Here is a second system that has gone 35-35 for 50% winners making 41.5 units with the average play a +219 dog since 1997. Play on road dogs with a money line of +200 or more that are good fielding teams averaging <=0.6 errors/game on the season and after scoring 2 runs or less 2 straight games. Take SD. | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals | Cleveland Indians +145 at SPBOOK | > 3h. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on Cleveland Indians +145 The Tribe is worth a 1 Unit wager at this price tonight when you consider how poorly the Royals are playing. I know KC sends Greinke to the mound, but the Royals are only 1-8 in his starts in the 2nd half of the season, losing by an average of 2 runs per game. Plus, KC is 0-10 after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons, losing by 3.6 runs per game on average in these spots. Masterson looked great in his last start against the Angels and is 1-0 with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 0.948 in 1 career start against KC. The Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150 while the Royals are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a favorite and 6-25 in their last 31 home games. Take the Tribe. | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Philadelphia Phillies -173 at 5DIMES | > 2h. |
| Free MLB Play | ||
| MLB | Aug 25 Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox -1½-150 at BOOKM | > 2h. |
| On Tuesday the free play is the Boston Redsox on the Run line.Game number 922 at 7:10 eastern.The Redsox fit a tremendous 27-4 system tonight.Howeer no one in their right mind should lay -310.The run line though looks to be a good value.What we want to do is play on Home favorites of -200 or higher off a home favored win of 2 or more runs scoring 10 or more runs on 10+ hits.If tonights opponent scored 5 + runs.The system on the run line is still a very profitable 21-10.The Redsox are 6-0 as a home favorite in this range while the Whitesox are 0-3 as a road dog in this range.Boston has J.Lester going tonight and he is 8-3 with a 3.33 era at home this year.Over his last 3 starts he has a 2.14 era.Tonight he opposes F.Garcia on the comeback trail.In his first start he went 4+ innings and allowed 5 runs.He will have his work cut out for him tonight vs a Redsox team that is averaging over 8 runs per game and hitting well over .300 in the last 7 games.On Tueasday I have a 13-2 Totals system that averages 13 runs per game.Its the National league total of the month.Jump on and cash out on this easy winner.Mlb totals have been white hot.For the free play take the Redsox on the run line bol RV- | ||
Sunday, August 23, 2009
Sundays Free MLB Sports Picks
| Robbie Gainous |
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| MLB | Aug 23 Arizona D-Backs vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros -137 at 5DIMES | > 9h. |
| The Diamondbacks and Astros faceoff in the third and final game of this series at Minute Maid Park on Sunday afternoon with Houston holding a 2-0 series lead and looking for the sweep. Arizona’s bats have been held silent for the most part in this series with Oswalt going 7 innings on Friday in the 1-0 win giving up 3 hits and no runs and then Moehler pitching 5.2 innings giving up 6 hits with 3 strikeouts and 2 earned runs in a 4-2 win on Saturday. This should come as no surprise as the Diamondbacks are ranked 28 in hitting with a batting average of .251 averaging 4.4 runs per game with OPS of .742. Arizona will send right-hander Jon Garland to the bump with his 6-11 record and ERA of 4.42 on the season, the D-backs are 9-16 in games he starts. He is 3-6 on the highway with an ERA of 3.20 and Arizona is 4-9 behind him in all road starts this season. Over his last three outings he has posted a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 5.71 while Arizona has gone 0-3 in those contests. The Diamondbacks are 26-35 (-5.8) on the road this season and 42-46 (-4.2) when facing right-handed starters. Arizona is 17-35 when installed as a road underdog, 9-23 when a road dog of +110 to +150 and 0-8 their last 8 road games overall. The Diamondbacks are 3-14 in Garlands last 17 starts overall and 1-9 when he takes the bump on the road. Houston is 31-14 their last 45 games versus teams with a losing record and 35-17 when playing game three of a series. They will send Bud Norris to the hill with his 3-1 record and ERA of 4.05 on the season. Over his last three outings he is 2-1 with an ERA of 5.94. The Astros are 5-2 (+2.4) over their last 7 games and average 4.2 runs per game when playing at Minute Maid Park with a batting average of .271 on the year. With significant fundamental, situational and technical support we will back the host as they get the sweep over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Sunday afternoon at Minute Maid Park. Graded Selection: 2* Houston Astros 4 Arizona Diamondbacks 3 | ||
| MLB | Aug 23 LAA Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays | LAA Angels +115 at 5DIMES | > 8h. |
| 1* Take the L.A. Angels on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Angels are 17-4 in their last 21 games as an underdog. The Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 road games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and they are hitting .288 as a team on the road this season while averaging 5.8 rpg. The Blue Jays are hitting just .229 as a team over their last 7 games while averaging just 3.9 rpg and they are just 2-10 in their last 12 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Ricky Romero (10-5, 3.95) has given up four or more runs in five of his last seven starts and he has an ERA of 6.89 over his last 3 starts. The Angels are 27-12 in their last 39 games against a lefty starter and I look for them to hit Romero hard here Sunday afternoon. Take the L.A. Angels as my MLB Free Play for Sunday afternoon. Vernon Croy's 8-1 MLB Run continues with his huge Sunday Night MLB ESPN Game of the Week between the Yankees and Red Sox that is backed by a massive 10-1 angle! Get on it now! | ||
| MLB | Aug 23 Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians | Seattle Mariners -137 at 5DIMES | > 8h. |
| On Sunday the free play is on the Seattle Mariners.Game 917 at 1:05 eastern.Seattle is 16-5 as a road favorite in this range.Today they have their ace on the mound.Felix Hernandez takes to the hill today in Cleveland knowing that in his road starts this year the Mariners have cashed 11 of 14 times and he has a 1.92 road era.Over his last 3 starts his era is just 1.80.He has won his last 3 starts vs the Tribe and has allowed just 4 runs in his last 2 starts in Cleveland.The Mariners have won 4 of 6 times here in Cleveland.Last night the Mariners lost a tough one run game to the Indians.We note that the Indians have not played well off a win this year winning around 30% in the following game.Cleveland starter Fausto Carmona has a 3-6 home record with a 4.82 era.Look for Seattle to bounce back here on Sunday.Also on Sunday dont miss my 90% totals play.Those with me on Saturday steam rolled their man with a 3-1 night including the big 5 unit Nfl winner.My totals have been golden in bases.Jump on this one and end your week grabbing the green.Take Seattle as the free play.BOL RV- | ||
Saturday, August 22, 2009
Saturdays Free MLB Picks
| MLB | Aug 22 LAA Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays | LAA Angels -120 at 5DIMES | |
| On Saturday the Comp play is on the LA.Angels.Game 967 at 1:05 eastern.The Angels are a fantastic day time team.They are 26-9 Straight up under the sun and average 6.3 rpg.La is 11-4 as a road favorite in this range and are a solid 10-1 off back to back losses.Over the past 7 games the Angels are hitting almost .300 and scoring 6.5 runs per game.Today they have E.Santana pitching and they have won 6 of his 8 road starts this year.Toronto is is just 8-17 vs winning teams in the second half and are hitting a paltry .246 over the last 7 games.On the mound for the Jays is S.Richmond and he has been subpar over his last 3 outings with a 5.52 era.On Saturday I have a big 5 unit Nfl preseason System play,a 13-2 MLB Totals slammer and a night time play with an 18-0 Angle.Do not miss these.Fridays 5 unit top play cahsed again in bases.More Damage on Saturday.Take the La.Angels today bol RV- | ||
-=TOP PLAY=-
| MLB | Aug 22 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals | Milwaukee Brewers +120 at SPBOOK | |
| 1* Take the Milwaukee Brewers on the Moneyline, I had the Brewers last night as my MLB Smash and tonight I will take them again at a great price against a very bad Nationals team. The Brewers have been hitting the ball extremely well with 10 or more hits in eight of their last ten games and they were hitting .309 as a team before last night's game. Mike Burns (3-4, 5.36 ERA) pitched solid in his last outing allowing just 4 hits and 2 earned runs over 7 innings and John Lannan (8-9, 3.68 ERA) has allowed 7 or more hits in seven of his last nine starts. The Nationals are just 6-12 in Lannan's last 18 starts at night and I look for the Brewers to continue to hit the ball hard here Saturday night. Take the Milwaukee Brewers as my MLB Free Play for Saturday night. Vernon Croy crushed the books again last night winning his NFL Preseason Game of the Year with the Dallas Cowboys in a rout and his MLB Smash with the Brewers. Make sure you get on Vernon Croy's Top Premium Sports Picks for Saturday as his massive overall run continues! | ||
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
Wednesdays Free MLB Sports Picks
| MLB | Aug 19 Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers | Minnesota Twins +122 at BODOG | > 4h. |
| The Twins could have really caved in last night trailing 5-1 heading into the sixth, but ended up winning easily 9-6 and have the momentum coming in here after a 16 hit explosion. The Twins began the season at 0-4 with Scott Baker on the hill, but since then they have been an impressive 12-7 and also 5-3 in his last eight road starts. The Rangers have not been successful in Kevin Millwood's last six starts where they are just 2-4 and things don't get much easier here. Millwood has had fits with the Twins as he has taken the goose-egg at 0-6 for his career with a 6.00 ERA allowing 82 hits in just 57 innings and walking 21 as well, so just about two base runners per inning. Texas bullpen overworked last night puts the Twins in a good spot here and I'll go with them. | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics | New York Yankees -127 at 5DIMES | > 6h. |
| Take Yankees -120 for 2 Dime Free Play Yankees face the lefty Anderson for the third time this season and they send newly acquired Chad Gaudin to the mound for a start against the Athletics on Wednesday night. I'm liking the Yankees to hit Anderson hard as they have a .353 average in his two starts against them. Anderson's line is 12IP 18H 3BB 9 ER and 3HR. As I mentioned the Yankees always hit LHP as they have a stunning .299 average and are scoring 6.69 runs per 9 innings vs. LHP on the road this year. They are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a LH starter and are 10-2 in their last 12 meetings. I think we are getting great value here with the Yankees at -120 despite Gaudin going if you remember he did throw an 8 inning 1 hitter at Texas when he was with the Padres earlier this year. | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox | Kansas City Royals -135 at 5DIMES | Started |
| The visitors have a young ace here, the home team has an aging starter who is close to being out of the rotation. Zack Greinke (11-7) has a 2.33 ERA with 174 KS in 166 innings. Jose A. Contreras (4-11) goes for the up and down White Sox, and he has been mostly down, with an ERA over 10 his last three starts. A good spot for the visitors. Play the Royals. | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers -129 at 5DIMES | > 4h. |
| Free Play for 8/19/09 1 Unit on Texas Rangers -129 I like the Rangers to bounce back from last night's defeat behind Kevin Millwood tonight. Millwood has never earned a decision against the Twins, going 0-6 in his career, and he is very mindful of that. I expect this streak to come to an end here. Millwood has been brilliant at home all season, going 7-1 with an ERA of 2.46. Baker has been good for Minnesota of late, but has an ERA of 4.39 on the road this season. Plus, the Twins are 0-9 in his last 9 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win and 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. Take Texas. | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Arizona D-Backs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies -171 at BOOKM | > 3h. |
| Free MLB Play | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Arizona D-Backs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies -162 at 5DIMES | > 3h. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on Philadelphia Phillies -162 Haren is known to struggle late in the season and that's exactly what we are starting to see. Although, he was strong at home against the Dodgers his last time out, he really struggled against the lowly Nationals and the injury-plagued Mets his two prior starts, allowing 5 earned runs in each. Plus, Haren is 0-3 against the money line lifetime against Philly with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.235. The Phillies send Cliff Lee to the hill and he has been brilliant. He has won each of his last 6 starts and is 3-0 with an ERA of 1.12 and a WHIP of 0.917 since coming to Philly. The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 road games, 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, and 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Phillies. | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Indians | Los Angeles Angels -124 at SPBOOK | > 3h. |
| Free Play for August 19, 2009 1 Unit on LAA Angels -124 The Angels are rolling, having won 7 of 8. More impressively, they are 21-6 in their last 27 road games. I'll take the Halos on the road tonight against the Tribe and Jeremy Sowers. The Tribe is just 4-10 in Sowers' starts this season, 4-18 in his last 22 starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-6 in his last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Angels counter with Weaver and are 13-3 in his last 16 starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the American League Central. Weaver was rocked last time out and that bodes well for the Halos also, as they are 5-0 in his last 5 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance. Gotta go with the Angels at a nice price tonight. | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Arizona D-Backs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies -160 at 5DIMES | > 3h. |
| Hope everyone got in with Craig's 5 star R/L top play of week. 1-1 yesterday and 3-1 Craig's last 4 plays. Get in with a HUGE PLAY for CRAIG today. GUARANTEED EASY WINNER!! PHI -160: Today PHI rolls out ace Cliff Lee as he tries to stay perfect with the new team. He will face ARI ace Harren who has not quite been as good lately. Lee is 3-0 since coming to Philly giving up only three runs and 16 hits over 24 innings with his new club and striking out 23. Not sure you can get any better than this. On the other hand Harren has gone 2-2 since the all star break giving up a 5.10 ERA. Not helping Harren today is also the fact that ARI just can't get hits lately. Yesterday they were held to only 3 hits and 1 run. On the other hand PHI is tearing it up scoring over 5 runs per game in last 7 games going 6-1 in that stretch. EASY winner today M/L and a small play on the R/L!!! SCORE PHI 5 - ARI 1 | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals | Total 9½ ov+100 at SPBOOK | > 3h. |
| On Wednesday the free play is on the over in the Colorado at Washington game.Rotation numbers 905/6 at 7;05 eastern.The Rockies are 11-1 to the over off a road win in a certain hit range.This game also quaifies in nice 70% system that plays on the over for road favs off a road favored 1 run win if both teams scored 4 or less runs.In the pitching matchup the Rockies have J.Marquis going tonight.While he has been stellar all year,he has gone over the total in his last 3 starts.Wahington sends another youngster in Balester to the mound tonight.In his 5 starts this year he has not had an easy go of it.He has an elevated 6.00 era and has been hit hard.Colorado is also 6-1 over as a road favorite in this range,while the Nationals have gone over in 6 of their last 9 vs winning teams.Back the over here and wait till game time as this total may get down to nine flat.In the late phones I have the MLB Game of the Week.This play is backed with a huge 38-8 system.Our side has solid team angles in play and a decided pitching advantage.Jump on and get the full analysis of this big side.Top play on the Over in the Boston/Toronto game cashed on Tuesday.Wednesday will win too.For the free play take the Over in the Colorado-Wshingotn game. bol RV- | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Arizona D-Backs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Arizona D-Backs +155 at BETUS | > 3h. |
| Arizona @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM EST Play On: Arizona (Haren/Lee) Listed Two very good pitchers going here tonight but we're getting very good value with the dog and Haren. Arizona is 10-3 this year after 3 or more consecutive losses. Dan Haren is 12-7 with a 2.50 ERA overall this year, 6-2 with a 2.96 ERA on the road and 2-1 his last 3 starts. Cliff Lee is only 4-6 at home this year. Lee has a 7.20 ERA overall vs Arizona since 1997. Diamondbacks are 6-1 in Harens last 7 road starts. We'll recommend a small play on Arizona tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | St. Louis Cardinals +117 at SPBOOK | > 6h. |
| Free MLB Play | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | Total 7 un-115 at BOOKM | > 6h. |
| San Diego starter Matt Latos has allowed 2 or less runs in 5 of his 6 starts this year. San Diego is 8-2 UNDER their last 10 Wednesday games. The Padres are 11-5 UNDER their last 16 home games and they are 5-1 UNDER in the 6 starts made by Latos this year. Chicago is 6-0 UNDER in the last 6 starts made by Rich Harden and they are 25-10-1 vs. a team with a losing record. The Cubs are 10-3 UNDER on Wednesday and they 20-9-1 UNDER their last 30 games at San Diego. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Latos vs. Harden) | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics | Oakland Athletics +119 at 5DIMES | > 6h. |
| A'S STEAL ONE HERE TONIGHT!!!!!! 3-1 FB 75% TOP RUN CONTINUES THURSDAY , We're Sweep'n as ((1)) Monster Fox Tv NFL REDZONE� WINNER, Philly Birds/ Indy Colts TOP | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | St. Louis Cardinals +105 at BOOKM | > 6h. |
| This is the third and final game of the Cardinals and Dodgers three-game series at Chavez Ravine. The Cardinals are ranked 15 in hitting with a batting average of .262 averaging 4.5 runs per game on the year while the Dodgers are ranked 3 in hitting with a batting average of .276 averaging 4.9 runs per game. The teams are much closer in the pitching department with the Cardinals ranked 4 with an ERA of 3.73 with opponents hitting .262 against them. The Dodgers are ranked 2 in pitching with an ERA of 3.63 with opponents hitting for a .233 average. Combine these factors and these teams are relatively close overall put Adam Wainwright on the bump as an underdog and we have solid value with the Cardinals tonight. Wainwright is 14-7 this season with an ERA of 2.62 with the Cardinals 17-8 (+4.9) behind him on the hill. He has been overwhelming on the road this season posting a record of 9-1 with an ERA of 3.41 with the Cards 10-1 (+9.0) when he starts on the highway. He is 8-0 (+9.0) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons, 10-1 (+9.1) versus teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game on the season the last 2 seasons, 11-1 (+10.0) when the money line is +125 to -125 this season, 8-1 (+8.1) as a road underdog of +100 or higher the last 2 seasons, 8-1 (+8.1) as a road underdog of +100 to +150 the last 2 seasons and 7-0 (+7.1) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. The Cards are playing extremely well and they are sending an ace to the bump which should translate into a nice underdog win on Wednesday night in LA. Graded Selection: 2* St. Louis Cardinals 3 Los Angeles Dodgers 2 | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics | New York Yankees -125 at 5DIMES | > 6h. |
| 1* Take the New York Yankees on the Moneyline, We are actually getting great value here Wednesday night with the Yankees who are 6-1 in their last 7 games against a lefty starter. The Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 road games against a team with a losing record and they are 41-18 in their last 59 games after a win. Chad Gaudin (1-0, 5.40 ERA) makes his first start for the Yankees after making a couple of solid relief appearances for them. Brett Anderson (7-8, 4.55) takes the mound for the Athletics and he was lit up in his last start allowing 9 hits and 7 earned runs over just 5 innings at home against the White Sox. I look for the Yankees to hit Anderson hard tonight and give Gaudin plenty of run support since they already faced him twice this season. The Yankees averaged 9 hits per game against Anderson this season and 4.5 earned runs per game. Take the New York Yankees as my MLB Free Play for Wednesday night. Vernon Croy was 100% perfect yesterday and he crushes the books again with his huge 4* MLB NL Game of the Week that is backed by a combined 100% 24-0 Perfect Angle! Get on this huge Cardinals/Dodgers top play now! | ||
| MLB | Aug 19 Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | Chicago Cubs -215 at 5DIMES | > 6h. |
| Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Cubs as they face the Padres set to start at 10:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 119-76 making 56.2 units since 1997. Play against any NL team with a bad offensive team scoring <=4.1 runs/game facing an average starting pitcher posting an ERA=4.20 to 5.20 and with a NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season. SD is just 12-27 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games versus a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 over the last 2 seasons; 19-40 (-18.7 Units) against the money line versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons. Cubs starter Harden has been solid to say the least posting a 3.00 ERA and a 1.111 WHIP over his last 3 starts. In 9 road starts he has posted a 2.28 ERA and 1.175 WHIP. Take the Cubs. | ||
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Tuesday's Free MLB Picks
| MLB | Aug 18 Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays -1½-130 at BOOKM | > 7h. |
| Take Rays -1.5 @ -126 2Dime Free Play (1-5 scale) Off another POD winner and a push in the NFL moving us to 3-0-1 in NFL POD's this pre-season and 3-1 in our last 4 MLB POD's looking like we are coming out of our mini slump. Here today we go with the Rays in what promises to be a complete pitching mismatch with Jason Berken vs. David Price. Neither one of these pitchers will go deep in the game, but when they leave the game they will be leaving under completely different circumstances. Berken will face the Rays for the first time and that's too bad as he has a 8.76 ERA in his last three starts and a 8.48 ERA on the road this year. Orioles are 2-12 in Berken's last 14 overall starts and 1-10 when he is an underdog. The last time he completed 7 innings was May 31st. Which almost guarantees the Rays will see the O's bullpen for 2+ innings that has gone down hill since losing their closer to the Dodgers. They have a 6.10 ERA last 10, 7.40 Last 5, and the bullpen available for Tuesday has a 8.15 ERA in their last 3 games. Berken has not been impressive with a 41:29 K:BB ratio which really works to the Rays strengths and weaknesses as they are #3 in taking walks which should push Berken out of this game even earlier and they are #4 in K's which is good since Berken is not a strikeout guy. David Price going for the Rays has been great at home with a 2.72 ERA and a fabulous 38:18 K:BB ratio. He will go up against the O's who are #18 in HR and #24 in BB which does not pan out well against Price. Orioles have just been awful against LHP on the road this year with a .222 average and are scoring only 2.80 runs per 9 innings. In their last five they are batting .125 and scoring 1.17 runs per 9. Why it's not a premium play? Plain and simple the Rays have not seen Berken before. What does that mean? It means that he may be able to work quickly through the lineup the first time. When playing run lines I like to know that a team can really beat up on a hitter the first time around. Good luck! | ||
| MLB | Aug 18 San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds | San Francisco Giants -1½-134 at 5DIMES | > 7h. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on San Francisco Giants -1.5 -134 Bailey and Lincecum faced off on August 7th with the Reds getting the win in San Fran. The Giants let that game slip away, blowing 3 different 2-run leads. I really believe the Giants will have their revenge behind their ace and against one of the worst starters in baseball here. Bailey is 3-15 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 3.4 to 5.9. He is also 1-9 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 3.4 to 6.6. The Reds are 2-11 in their last 13 home games and 0-6 in Bailey's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Lincecum is 6-1 with a 1.53 ERA in his last 10 starts and I expect him to shut down the Reds while the Giants give him enough run support against Bailey and his 7.48 ERA. Take the Giants on the run line. | ||
| MLB | Aug 18 LAA Angels vs. Cleveland Indians | Cleveland Indians -104 at 5DIMES | > 7h. |
| All Sports Overall Plays (+278) 4-1 L5 80% Rare Tuesday 4-0 Mlb sweep set .. 500* anchor Redsox/Jays Mlb BOMB .. Flat out ^^^Fishy suspect line ^^^ here Tuesday... Look for Carmona who is 0-1 with a 2.65 ERA in 4 games since late July . He pitched six innings vs Texas & he stops the Angels tonight | ||
| MLB | Aug 18 Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers | Seattle Mariners -135 at BODOG | > 7h. |
| Seattle leaves the Pacific Northwest for Motown and a three-game set versus the host Detroit Tigers with the first game Tuesday night and the first pitch at 7:05PM Eastern Time. Both teams are 4-5 their last 9 games overall and the Mariners will send their ace Felix Hernandez to the bump for the opener. Hernandez has been nothing short of spectacular on the highway this season posting a record of 8-1 with an ERA of 1.06. Seattle has not lost a road game with Hernandez on the hill since May 14 in Texas. In that game Hernandez pitched seven scoreless innings as his team let him down losing 3 to 2. Over his last seven road starts he is 6-0 with an ERA of 1.53 which included a win in Motown back in July where he allowed one run on six hits over seven innings of work. The Mariners are ranked 6 in pitching this season with an ERA of 3.97. Opponents are hitting .247 with an OBP of .322 and OPS of .247 against them this season. In the box the Mariners are ranked 16 in batting average with a mark of .262 averaging 4.0 runs per game and OPS of .716 on the season. The Tigers will send Rick Porcello to the hill with his 5-3 record at home and an ERA of 4.92. The Tigers are ranked 11 in pitching with an ERA of 4.22 with opponents hitting for an average of .258 and have an OBP of .332. In the box the Tigers are ranked 21 with a batting average of .258 averaging 4.6 runs per game with an OPS of .746 this season. On the technical front we see that Seattle is 15-3 (+11.6) on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Hernandez is 11-2 (+9.3) in road games this season, 10-1 (+9.4) in road games in night games this season, 10-1 (+9.5) in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons and 7-0 (+7.1) in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing this season. With solid fundamental and technical support we will back the visitor here as the Mariners ride Hernandez to the winners circle. Lay the short price with the favorite as they grab game one of this three-game set and add to the solid road record of their starter. Graded Selection: 2* Seattle Mariners 2 Detroit Tigers 1 | ||
-=TOP PLAY=-
| MLB | Aug 18 Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Boston Red Sox -160 at BOOKM | > 7h. |
| 1* Take the Boston Red Sox on the Moneyline, The Red Sox have the superior pitcher on the mound Tuesday night and the Red Sox are 13-3 in Josh Beckett's (14-4, 3.10 ERA) last 16 road starts against a team with a losing record. Beckett has pitched solid over his last 6 starts with an ERA of just 1.80 and the Red Sox are 8-1 in Beckett's last 9 starts with 5 days rest. The Red Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 games when playing with a day off and they are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Ricky Romero (10-5, 3.70) struggled in his only two starts against the Red Sox with an ERA of 9.72 and I look for the Red Sox to hit him hard against Tuesday night. The Blue Jays are just 1-6 in their last 7 games after a day off and they are just 8-21 in their last 29 games when playing a team with a winning record. Take the Boston Red Sox as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday Night. Vernon Croy's long term MLB run continues with his Tuesday Night MLB Smash that is backed by a full report including a 100% Angle! Get on it now! | ||
