| MLB | Aug 18 Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Tampa Bay Rays -1½-130 at BOOKM | > 7h. |
| Take Rays -1.5 @ -126 2Dime Free Play (1-5 scale) Off another POD winner and a push in the NFL moving us to 3-0-1 in NFL POD's this pre-season and 3-1 in our last 4 MLB POD's looking like we are coming out of our mini slump. Here today we go with the Rays in what promises to be a complete pitching mismatch with Jason Berken vs. David Price. Neither one of these pitchers will go deep in the game, but when they leave the game they will be leaving under completely different circumstances. Berken will face the Rays for the first time and that's too bad as he has a 8.76 ERA in his last three starts and a 8.48 ERA on the road this year. Orioles are 2-12 in Berken's last 14 overall starts and 1-10 when he is an underdog. The last time he completed 7 innings was May 31st. Which almost guarantees the Rays will see the O's bullpen for 2+ innings that has gone down hill since losing their closer to the Dodgers. They have a 6.10 ERA last 10, 7.40 Last 5, and the bullpen available for Tuesday has a 8.15 ERA in their last 3 games. Berken has not been impressive with a 41:29 K:BB ratio which really works to the Rays strengths and weaknesses as they are #3 in taking walks which should push Berken out of this game even earlier and they are #4 in K's which is good since Berken is not a strikeout guy. David Price going for the Rays has been great at home with a 2.72 ERA and a fabulous 38:18 K:BB ratio. He will go up against the O's who are #18 in HR and #24 in BB which does not pan out well against Price. Orioles have just been awful against LHP on the road this year with a .222 average and are scoring only 2.80 runs per 9 innings. In their last five they are batting .125 and scoring 1.17 runs per 9. Why it's not a premium play? Plain and simple the Rays have not seen Berken before. What does that mean? It means that he may be able to work quickly through the lineup the first time. When playing run lines I like to know that a team can really beat up on a hitter the first time around. Good luck! | ||
| MLB | Aug 18 San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds | San Francisco Giants -1½-134 at 5DIMES | > 7h. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on San Francisco Giants -1.5 -134 Bailey and Lincecum faced off on August 7th with the Reds getting the win in San Fran. The Giants let that game slip away, blowing 3 different 2-run leads. I really believe the Giants will have their revenge behind their ace and against one of the worst starters in baseball here. Bailey is 3-15 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 3.4 to 5.9. He is also 1-9 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 3.4 to 6.6. The Reds are 2-11 in their last 13 home games and 0-6 in Bailey's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Lincecum is 6-1 with a 1.53 ERA in his last 10 starts and I expect him to shut down the Reds while the Giants give him enough run support against Bailey and his 7.48 ERA. Take the Giants on the run line. | ||
| MLB | Aug 18 LAA Angels vs. Cleveland Indians | Cleveland Indians -104 at 5DIMES | > 7h. |
| All Sports Overall Plays (+278) 4-1 L5 80% Rare Tuesday 4-0 Mlb sweep set .. 500* anchor Redsox/Jays Mlb BOMB .. Flat out ^^^Fishy suspect line ^^^ here Tuesday... Look for Carmona who is 0-1 with a 2.65 ERA in 4 games since late July . He pitched six innings vs Texas & he stops the Angels tonight | ||
| MLB | Aug 18 Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers | Seattle Mariners -135 at BODOG | > 7h. |
| Seattle leaves the Pacific Northwest for Motown and a three-game set versus the host Detroit Tigers with the first game Tuesday night and the first pitch at 7:05PM Eastern Time. Both teams are 4-5 their last 9 games overall and the Mariners will send their ace Felix Hernandez to the bump for the opener. Hernandez has been nothing short of spectacular on the highway this season posting a record of 8-1 with an ERA of 1.06. Seattle has not lost a road game with Hernandez on the hill since May 14 in Texas. In that game Hernandez pitched seven scoreless innings as his team let him down losing 3 to 2. Over his last seven road starts he is 6-0 with an ERA of 1.53 which included a win in Motown back in July where he allowed one run on six hits over seven innings of work. The Mariners are ranked 6 in pitching this season with an ERA of 3.97. Opponents are hitting .247 with an OBP of .322 and OPS of .247 against them this season. In the box the Mariners are ranked 16 in batting average with a mark of .262 averaging 4.0 runs per game and OPS of .716 on the season. The Tigers will send Rick Porcello to the hill with his 5-3 record at home and an ERA of 4.92. The Tigers are ranked 11 in pitching with an ERA of 4.22 with opponents hitting for an average of .258 and have an OBP of .332. In the box the Tigers are ranked 21 with a batting average of .258 averaging 4.6 runs per game with an OPS of .746 this season. On the technical front we see that Seattle is 15-3 (+11.6) on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. Hernandez is 11-2 (+9.3) in road games this season, 10-1 (+9.4) in road games in night games this season, 10-1 (+9.5) in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons and 7-0 (+7.1) in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing this season. With solid fundamental and technical support we will back the visitor here as the Mariners ride Hernandez to the winners circle. Lay the short price with the favorite as they grab game one of this three-game set and add to the solid road record of their starter. Graded Selection: 2* Seattle Mariners 2 Detroit Tigers 1 | ||
-=TOP PLAY=-
| MLB | Aug 18 Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Boston Red Sox -160 at BOOKM | > 7h. |
| 1* Take the Boston Red Sox on the Moneyline, The Red Sox have the superior pitcher on the mound Tuesday night and the Red Sox are 13-3 in Josh Beckett's (14-4, 3.10 ERA) last 16 road starts against a team with a losing record. Beckett has pitched solid over his last 6 starts with an ERA of just 1.80 and the Red Sox are 8-1 in Beckett's last 9 starts with 5 days rest. The Red Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 games when playing with a day off and they are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Ricky Romero (10-5, 3.70) struggled in his only two starts against the Red Sox with an ERA of 9.72 and I look for the Red Sox to hit him hard against Tuesday night. The Blue Jays are just 1-6 in their last 7 games after a day off and they are just 8-21 in their last 29 games when playing a team with a winning record. Take the Boston Red Sox as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday Night. Vernon Croy's long term MLB run continues with his Tuesday Night MLB Smash that is backed by a full report including a 100% Angle! Get on it now! | ||
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