Friday, July 31, 2009

Fridays Free MLB Betting Picks

Freddy Wills
MLB | Jul 31
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Total
8½ un-120
at BETUS
> 2h.
Take UNDER 8.5 WAS/PIT 2DIME FREE PLAY (1-5SCALE)
After losing my 1st POD last night on the Phillies in 12 chances. I continued my successful free pick run at 27-13 in my last 40 given to you!

Here tonight I'm confident and it will be a larger free pick release than usual. We've got John Lannan vs. Ross Ohlendorf here tonight. The line opened up at -125 in favor of the Nationals. In my opinion there is no reason why this line should go the other way given how Lannan has pitched this year but the line has dropped to -114 despite 55% of the public being on the Nats. Vegas is expecting a close game and it is because of the pitching here tonight.

I can state Lannan's stats as I did in the Pitching report today. He has a 2.70 ERA in his last 5 starts and he's got 1 start vs. Pirates this year going 7 innings and giving up 1ER. He'll face a lineup without Wilson and Sanchez today as this team continues to get weaker and weaker. The Pirates are scoring 0.78 runs per 9 innings in their last 5 and it's going to take them a while to gel and establish a team that can find it's groove again. To me as it stands today the Pirates are the worst team in baseball. However, Vegas is moving the line the other way and it is for no other reason than Ross Ohlendorf. Pirates are 1-7 in their last 8 starts vs. LH starter.

Ohlendorf has the 6-2 record and a 3.39 ERA at home this year including a 1.80 ERA in his last 4 home starts. He faces the Nationals who do have a decent lineup but still on the road they just aren't a good hitting team. Pirates are under 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a losing team as he seems to get most of his quality starts against the bottom half of the MLB.

The Nats are Under 6-0 in their last 6 as favorites -110 to -150 and they are under 18-4-1 with Lannan on 4 days rest. They are under 12-1 in their last 13 overall games as favorites for the Nats, and they are under 7-1 in their last 8 on the road. The Pirates are under 11-2 in their last 13 as a home dog and 8-1 in their last 10 following an off day.

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 31
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
OFF
at BODOG
> 2h.
Take the Baltimore Orioles on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and I look for the Orioles to hit John Smoltz (1-4, 7.04 ERA) hard tonight. Smoltz has struggled over 6 starts this season with an ERA of 7.04 and pitching with just 4 days rest will not help him tonight. The Orioles lit up Smoltz in his last outing as he allowed 9 hits and 6 earned runs over just 5 innings and I look for the Orioles to hit him hard again tonight. There is a reason why the Atlanta Braves departed with Smoltz, his fastball is not as good as it use to be and he has given up 42 hits over just 30.7 innings this season. The Red Sox are just 1-5 in Smoltz's last 6 starts and they are just 1-4 in their last 5 road games as a favorite. Jeremy Guthrie (7-9, 5.21) has only allowed more than 3 earned runs just once over 10 home starts this season and I look for him to have a solid start at home tonight. Take the Baltimore Orioles as my MLB Free Play for Friday night.

Vernon Croy massive 24-13 MLB Run continues Friday night with his biggest MLB AL play of the month. Get on Vernon Croy's 5* MLB AL Game of the Month that is backed by a full in-depth report so you can bet with confidence Friday night.

MLB | Jul 31
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers
-1½+117
at 5DIMES
> 3h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Texas Rangers -1.5 +117
The Rangers crushed the Mariners 7-1 last night to improve to 4-0 at home against them this season and 7-3 in all meetings. I expect this domination to continue as the M's just don't have the fire power to compete. The M's are averaging just 3.9 runs per game on the road while the Rangers are scoring 5.4 runs per game at home on the season. Seattle is only 3-14 revenging a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 3.6 to 5.8. Texas is 17-6 in home games against left-handed starters this season, winning by an average score of 6.3 to 3.4 in these games. Lastly, Padilla is 12-4 against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons, with the Rangers winning by an average score of 6.4 to 4.1 in these spots. Cash in with the Rangers on the run line.

MLB | Jul 31
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
+113
at 5DIMES
> 2h.
The Washington Nationals will pay a visit to the Steel City for a four-game series versus the host Pittsburgh Pirates beginning Friday with the first pitch set for 7:05PM Eastern Time. Washington enters tonight’s contest off a 7 to 3 loss at Milwaukee on Thursday while the Pirates had the day off after losing in extra innings (10) at San Francisco 1 to 0 on Wednesday. The Nationals are 1-5 their last 6 versus the Pirates and 12-36 (-18.0) on the road this season. Washington will send John Lannan to the bump with his 7-7 record and ERA of 3.25 on the season. He has struggled on the road going 3-6 this season with an ERA of 5.51 and the Nationals are 5-15 his last 20 starts on the highway. Washington is 1-13 (-11.7) on the road versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs per game in the second half of the season the last 2 seasons. The host will send right-hander Ross Ohlendorf to the hill with his 8-8 record and ERA of 4.51 on the year. Ohlendorf has been solid at home posting a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 3.39 and the Pirates are 8-2 behind him at home. Pittsburgh is 4-0 their last 4 at home versus a left-handed starter, 5-0 when Ohlendorf is installed as a home underdog and 26-19 for +7.5 units at home this season. We are getting solid value with the host as they are the better team and installed as an underdog, take Pittsburgh on Friday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Pittsburgh Pirates 4 Washington Nationals 2

****Robbie won his MLB 6* Game of the Year with the NY Mets and Johan Santana 7 to 0 over the Rockies and he also won his MLB Underdog play of the day with the White Sox all on Thursday. Make sure to join him on Friday for his MLB Report.

MLB | Jul 31
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Kansas City Royals
+215
at SIA
> 2h.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Kansas City as they travel to face TB set to start at 7:38 EST. Tb in a series of poor roles. Note that they are 11-16 (-11.2 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season; 14-18 (-10.0 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season. KC is a nice 102-116 (+35.1 Units) against the money line after having lost 18 or more of their last 25 games since 1997. This angle is analogous to playing Black Jack and losing slightly more hands than won and still walking out of the casino with a profit equivalent to winning 35 more hands than losing. This is just one minor example of how the AiS identifies dogs that have a very strong probability of winning. TB is not playing well right now and may be feeling the after effects of the big NYY series. They are just 3-4 batting 209 over their past 7 games. Opponents are averaging 5.7 RPG over this same span. KC starter Ponson is coming off his best start of the year throwing 6 innings allowing ZERO earned runs on 5 hits against Texas. Rays starter Price is an incredible talent, but he has not pitched well over his last 3 starts sporting a 6.60 ERA and a poor 1.733 WHIP. In his last start at Toronto, Price went just 3 innings allowing 6 ER on 9 hits with 3 home runs, He has allowed 23 hits and 11 ER in his last 3 starts spanning 15 innings. Also, just 2 quality starts all season! He has strong tendencies as well for day/night starts. In day starts he is 3-0 sporting a 3.38 ERA while an imperfect 0-4 with a robust 7.86 ERA in night starts. He also has allowed a 415 batting average during his first 15 pitches. Take KC.

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 31
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
+115
at SIA
> 2h.
It's hard to even consider backing the Nationals on the road as a favorite, under any circumstances. They have their best pitcher in John Lannon on the hill, but it begins and ends there. The Nats, even with Lannon on the mound are still just 3-6 in his nine starts on the road. The Nats have been the worst road team against righthand pitching, perhaps of all time. They come into this one with an 11-51 mark in their last 62 games - not numbers that exude confidence with a favorite. Russ Olendorf has been steadily improving for the Pirates as they have now won five straight home starts with him as a home dog. It looks like a live dog here, so I'll go with the Pirates here.

MLB | Jul 31
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
-115
at SPBOOK
> 2h.
Craig split with his top plays yesterday going 1-1! Won the MIL r/l but lost a tough one with the NYY blowing it late. Today Craig has two 5 star top plays: GRAND SLAM PLAY and NL Play of Day!! Get in now and parlay them together!!

BOS -115: Smoltz has not been his normal self yet as he is still getting stronger from his injury. But he has glimpses of greatness within a game. Today is the day where Smoltz puts together a really nice game. Also BOS has won 8 of 10 from BALT this year. BOS has snapped out of the hitting slump and today will put up a ton of fireworks. On the other side BALT is just young and not very good they have only won 3 games in last 11. Guthrie goes for them today and he has given up 5 ER in his last outting a week ago verse this same team. BOS owns him and will make another easy BOS win. SCORE BOS 9 - BAL 4


MLB | Jul 31
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
-113
at 5DIMES
> 2h.
Boston starter John Smoltz has a better than 4 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. Boston is 24-10 vs. AL East teams. The Red Sox are 32-15 in Game 1 of a series and they are 4-1 their last 5 Friday games. Baltimore starter Jeremy Guthrie has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. Baltimore is 17-47 vs. AL East teams. The Orioles are 0-8 in Game 1 of a series and they are 6-15 on Friday. PLAY ON BOSTON - (Smoltz vs. Guthrie)

MLB | Jul 31
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Boston Red Sox
-116
at BOOKM
> 2h.
Boston @ Baltimore 7:05 PM EST
Play On: Boston (Smoltz/Guthrie) Listed

Boston comes in with a 59-42 record on the season while Baltimore has a 44-57 record this year. Boston bullpen has a 3.21 ERA overall this year and a 3.21 ERA on the road this season. Boston is 32-14 overall vs Baltimore the past 3 years including 8-2 vs Baltimore this season. Guthrie is 1-3 overall vs Boston since 1997 and his team is now 2-7 overall vs Boston during those starts. Orioles are 17-47 in their last 64 vs. American League East. Red Sox are 61-27 in the last 88 meetings in Baltimore. We'll recommend a small play on Boston tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

MLB | Jul 31
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
+115
at SIA
> 2h.
Free Play for July 31, 2009
1 Unit on Pittsburgh Pirates +115
The Pirates are showing excellent value in the home underdog role tonight. The Pirates are a solid 26-19 at home this season while the Nats come in with a very poor 12-37 road record. Pittsburgh has won 3 of 4 meetings against the Nats this season and all have been in Washington so I expect this domination to continue in Pittsburgh tonight. While Lannan has been good for the Nats this season, the road has not been nearly as kind. He is just 3-6 away from home with an ERA of 5.51. Plus, Lannan is 0-3 against the money line when starting against Pittsburgh in his career with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500. The Bucs should be in good hands with Ross Ohlendorf on the hill tonight as he is 6-2 with an ERA of 3.39 at home this season (8-2 against the money line in his 10 home starts). The Pirates are 5-0 in Ohlendorf's last 5 starts as a home underdog and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts period while the Nationals are 5-15 in Lannan's last 20 road starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Bet the Bucs.

MLB | Jul 31
Arizona D-Backs vs. New York Mets
New York Mets
-102
at BODOG
> 2h.
Free Play for 7/31/09
1 Unit on NY Mets -102
The Mets have won 5 of 6 and I like them to stay hot against the lowly D-backs at home tonight. The D-backs are just 2-7 in Davis' road starts this season and he has really struggled of late, posting an ERA of 9.49 over his last 3 starts. In all, the Diamondbacks are just 5-18 in Davis' last 23 road starts. The Mets are an outstanding 29-10 in their last 39 home games vs. a team with a losing record and Hernandez has held his own against weak team as well. In fact, the Mets are 6-2 in Hernandez's last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Diamondbacks are just 7-19 in the last 26 meetings. Bet the Mets.

Thursday, July 30, 2009

Thursdays Free MLB Picks

Freddy Wills
MLB | Jul 30
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
-1½-145
at BOOKM
> 1h.
Take Brewers -1.5 -130 2 Dime Free Play (1-5 scale)
Let's start by saying the Nationals have lost 36 road games this year of those thirty six, 77.8% of them have come by more than one run! Make no mistake the Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 but they face a tough RHP today that they have never faced before with the exception of a few players who have been traded to the Nationals like Morgan who is 1-11 in his time with the Pirates. As a team combined they are 2-20 vs. Gallardo.

More on Gallardo here he has a 3.09 ERA and has been consistent at home and on the road with an ERA at home of 3.03. During day starts he has flat out dominated with a 2.36ERA. His main issue is walking batters and that is the only way the Nationals will get to him. My one worry here and is the reason why I'm not taking this as a POD is the Nationals are ranked 2nd in the NL and 5th overall in taking walks. Don't think the Brewers don't know this and I expect Gallardo to go right after these guys. Note the Nats are also 7th in the league in strikeouts so that evens out. Nationals are 11-50 in their last 61 road games vs. a RH starter.

J.D. Martin will make his 1st road start of his career and he'll face some intimidating hitters in Fielder and Braun to name a few. Brewers have been hitting RHP well as of late .314avg L5 and .291 L10 games. I expect them to be patient and get to the young RHP who lasted just 4IP giving up 5ER against the Mets in his 1st start.

MLB | Jul 30
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees
-125
at BOOKM
> 7h.
At 8:10pm our complimentary selection is on the New York Yankees over the Chicago White Sox. Former Yankee Jose Contreras was originally slated to start this game but an injury to Bartolo Colon moved Contreras up to the Wednesday start and now the Sox will move righthander Gavin Floyd up one day to start in this one. Yankee lefthander Andy Pettitte has been in the Majors 15 seasons and he goes from facing a starter that is a year older than him in Contreras to now facing somebody who is 11 years younger. Both of these starters have the same record at 8-6, but Pettitte has won his eight games with an ERA more than 1/2 run higher than Floyd, a testament to the excellent run support that the Bombers usually provide for the veteran southpaw. This is especially true when Pettitte pitches on the road, as in his last five starts away from Yankee Stadium in 2009, his pin-striped teammates have scored a total of 35 runs and they are 4-1 in those games. Floyd hasn't faced the Yanks this season, but in the last two years, he's made three appearances against them and it hasn't been pretty as Floyd has a 6.75 ERA in 16 innings. Heading into this series, New York has won 10 of the last 13 meetings, including five of the last six played in Chicago. Take the Yankees. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

Al McMordie is ON ABSOLUTE FIRE! Yesterday, Big Al released one of his Famous Roadkill plays, and the Cubs CRUSHED the Astros 12-0. Al is on a RED-HOT 15-2-1 RUN, and has a HUGE SIDE WINNER in National League action today. Get on it!

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 30
Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
Total
9½ un-120
at SPBOOK
49min.
Take the Boston Red Sox Under 9.5, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and both of these starters have pitched solid lately. Jon Lester (9-7, 3.79 ERA) has an ERA of just 1.83 since May.31 which leads all AL starters and opponents are hitting just .202 against him over his last 10 starts. Gio Gonzalez (2-2, 7.75) is coming off his best start of the season holding a very powerful Yankees line-up to just 1 earned run and 2 hits over 6.7 innings and that was in New York where the balls have been flying out this season. The O/U is 0-8 for the Red Sox in their last 8 home games against a lefty starter and the O/U is 1-7-1 in Lester's last 9 starts after a quality start in his last outing. With the first 3 games in this series going over the posted total I look for a pitchers dual here Thursday afternoon. Take the Under 9.5 as my MLB Free Play for Thursday afternoon.

Vernon Croy's 23-12 MLB Run continues right here Thursday afternoon with his MLB Totals Top Play so make sure you get on it now.

MLB | Jul 30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
-125
at BODOG
> 9h.
The Phillies travel to The City by the Bay for a four-game series against the host San Francisco Giants with the first game set for Thursday night at 10:15PM Eastern Time. The Phillies are 40-21 (+16.5) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and 20-9 (+13.9) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Philadelphia will face a Giants defense that has only allowed 3.7 runs per game this season. That is not a concern as we see the Phillies are 51-26 (+25.7) when facing NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs per game on the season the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia will send right-hander Rodrigo Lopez to the bump with his 3-0 record and ERA of 3.09. The Giants will counter with Jonathan Sanchez who is 3-9 with an ERA of 4.92 this season. Both teams have played well in the home/road situation with Philly going 31-15 for +18.8 units on the road while the Giants are 33-15 at home for +16.7 units. The runs scored differential favors the Phillies here with a 5.5 runs per game average on the road and the Giants only average 4.6 runs per game at home. The differential increases when comparing them against each teams starter with the Phillies averaging 5.5 runs per game against left-handed starters and the Giants are averaging 4.0 runs per game when facing right-handed starters. On the technical front we see that the Phillies are 22-5 their last 27 games as a road favorite and 9-2 their last 11 when installed as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants are 7-19 the last 26 starts by Sanchez when he is an underdog and 6-22 overall in his last 28 trips to the bump. We will back the champs here as they grab a victory in game one over the Giants on Thursday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Philadelphia Phillies 4 San Francisco Giants 3

MLB | Jul 30
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
-1½-125
at BOOKM
> 1h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 -125
Milwaukee snapped Washington's four-game winning streak last night and I like the Brew Crew to build off that win with an even more impressive performance this afternoon. The Nationals are just 2-8 in their last 10 meetings in Milwaukee, 11-50 in their last 61 road games vs. a right-handed starter, and a pathetic 27-81 in their last 108 games following a loss. The Beer Makers have the big advantage tonight with Gallardo on the hill as he enters this matchup with a 3.03 home ERA and is coming off a brilliant shut out performance against Atlanta. The Brewers are 7-3 in Gallardo's last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 24-5 in their last 29 games as a favorite of -201 or greater. Bet the Brewers on the run line for a unit.

MLB | Jul 30
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets
New York Mets
-145
at BETUS
Started
Colorado @ NY Mets 12:10 PM EST
Play On: NY Mets (Hammel/Santana) Listed

NY Mets are 5-1 this year after shutting out their opponent. NY Mets have now won 4 in a row. NY Mets bullpen has a 3.61 ERA overall this year and a 3.26 ERA at home this season. Jason Hammel is 0-1 with a 5.52 ERA his last 3 starts. Johan Santana is 11-8 with a 3.12 ERA overall this year, 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA at home and 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA his last 3 starts. NY Mets are 7-1 at home vs Colorado the past 3 years. We'll recommend a small play on the NY Mets today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 30
San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
+1½-145
at SIA
Started
The San Diego Padres have handled the Reds thus far, and may have their best chance yet in this one. The Reds are short of players and Johny Cueto is pitching about as bad as he has in his brief career, carrying an 8.65 ERA into this one. The Reds are also mired in a deep slump as they have only cashed four of their last 18 games. I'm going with the Padres on the runline in this one.

MLB | Jul 30
Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins
Atlanta Braves
-151
at 5DIMES
> 6h.
Atlanta is 6-0 off a loss and they are 6-1 their last 7 games as favorites. The Braves are 11-5 vs. NL East teams and they are 13-5 their 18 games vs. a team with a winning record. Florida is 3-12 their 15 games as home underdogs and they are 4-17 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Marlins are 4-9 vs. winning teams and they are 2-6 with Rick Vanden Hurk vs. winning teams. PLAY ON ATLANTA - (Vazquez vs. Vanden Hurk)

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Wednesday's Free MLB Picks

Big Al McMordie
MLB | Jul 29
Cleveland Indians vs. LAA Angels
Total
9½ ov+100
at JAMAICA

At 3:35pm our complimentary selection is on the Cleveland Indians and Los Angeles Angels 'over' the total. Whatever the hitters on the Indians have been drinking on the road lately, as long as it's not illegal, the team must feel like there's hopefully more from wherever it came from. In every game of this current road trip except the first one, the Tribe has scored at least five runs and they've scored a total of 58 runs in the first eight games heading into this ninth, and final game of their road trek. Today's starter for Cleveland, righthander Aaron Laffey must be feeling pretty good as he just came off of his best start of the season and he's no doubt noticed how many runs his offense has been scoring lately. Still, heading into Southern Cal to play arguably the best team in the American League can be a daunting task, and it's not like Laffey has a history of success against this team as in two career starts he is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA. That includes the final game of the 2008 season, also played in Anaheim, where Laffey's opposing pitcher was the same as it is this afternoon: veteran righthander John Lackey. The balls were flying everywhere in that one, as L.A. finally prevailed by a 14-11 margin. Lackey's actually been worse at home this season than on the road, and while it's unlikely these two teams will score 25 runs this afternoon, considering the over is 19-5-1 in the Angels last 25 home games, it could get a little crazy. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

Al McMordie is ON ABSOLUTE FIRE! Since the All-Star Break, Big Al is a SWEET 14-2-1, and last night drilled the books with the Seattle Mariners over Toronto. Now, for Wednesday, Al's STEPPING OUT with this Totals play in Major League Baseball. Go get it.

MLB | Jul 29
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
Total
8½ un-110
at SPBOOK

Craig had his first winless day since the all star break going 0-2 yesterday. The good news is that Craig is still an unbelievable 23-6 since the break. Today's 5 star Winner will be an easy winner with his 5 star TWILIGHT MLB Winner which are 3-1 on the season for Craig. Now lets get back today with a free total for Wednesday!

DET/TEX under 8.5: DET and TEX have both been two of the best under teeams on the season. Detroit has gone Under is 21-7 last 28 road games and Texas is under 8 of last 10 games! Texas has been winning games but not by scoring a ton of runs and today they will struggle against ace Verlander for DET. Verlander has only given up 2 runs in last 23 runs. Good thing for TEX is they have a very tough piture Feldman who has only given up 6 runs in last 4 starts in over 26 innings. Detroit has struggled scoring runs lately only scoring over 3 runs in last 10 games. Not sure if this one gets above 4 runs between these teams. UNDER 8.5 is the play!


-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 29
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals
-136
at SPBOOK

Take the Kansas City Royals on the Moneyline, We are getting solid value here Wednesday night with one of the best pitchers in baseball on the mound going against Chris Tillman who makes his Major League debut. Tillman has pitched great for Triple-A Norfolk with an ERA of just 2.70 over 18 starts but that was in Triple-A. Zack Greinke (10-6, 2.04 ERA) has pitched solid this season and he just limited a very potent Texas Rangers line-up to 1 earned run and 3 hits over 7 innings while striking out 10 batters. Greinke has an ERA of just 2.25 over his last 3 starts and he allowed just 1 earned run earlier this season against the Orioles over 7 innings. The Royals are 5-1 in Greinke's last 6 starts against a team with a losing record and the Orioles are just 1-7 in their last 8 games. Take the Kansas City Royals as my MLB Free Play for Wednesday night.

Vernon Croy's Massive 21-11 MLB Run continues Wednesday Afternoon with his Huge MLB Total of the Week so make sure you get on it now along with his other top MLB plays for Wednesday.


MLB | Jul 29
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers
+110
at SIA

The Rangers coasted again on Tuesday as they have now won three straight games and eight of their last nine games. That lone loss came on the road so they have won six straight games at home to improve to 34-19 at Rangers Ballpark on the season and those 34 victories are tied for second for the most home wins in all of baseball. Looking back further Texas has won 11 of its last 13 games at home. The Tigers continue to struggle on the road as they have lost seven straight and going back to June 13th, they are 4-15 in their last 19 road games so making them the favorite is not the right call here despite Justin Verlander being on the mound. He is having a great season following a disappointing 2008 campaign as he has posted a 3.12 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 21 starts. He has tossed four straight quality outings including one at Yankee Stadium but for the most part, he has struggled away from home. He has a 4.76 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 12 starts with Detroit going just 5-7 in those games. This compares to an 8-1 record in his nine home starts. In nine daytime starts, Verlander has a 1.74 ERA but in 12 starts after the sun sets, he has a 4.24 ERA. He faces off against Scott Feldman who is still getting no respect from the linesmakers. He has a 3.59 ERA on the season but it is even better since coming into the rotation. In his 17 starts alone, he has a 3.04 ERA and that includes 12 quality starts and a run of six in a row. Texas has won five of those last six starts. The Tigers are 16-40 in their last 56 road games against a team with a winning record and that includes a 0-4 record in Verlander’s last four. The Rangers are 23-9 in their last 32 home games against a team with a losing road record and they are 5-0 in Feldman’s last five starts as an underdog. 3* Texas Rangers


Fargo is coming off a difficult setback as Boston blew two separate three-run leads including one in the ninth inning! He is still hitting a SOLID 60% on the season with the baseball spreads and he continues the winning on Wednesday! Join him in the afternoon for his Daytime Delight (RL) that is backed by a PERFECT 100% Angle! Get it! Win while in the office with Fargo!


MLB | Jul 29
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals
St Louis Cardinals
-113
at 5DIMES

St. Louis is 17-4 their last 21 games vs. a team with a win percentage of over .600 and they are 9-3 when the Total is 7.0 to 8.5. The Cardinals are 4-0 in the last 4 starts made by Joel Pineiro and they are 12-3 their last 15 games as favorites. Los Angeles is 8-26 their last 34 games at St. Louis and they are 1-4 their last 5 games vs. righty starters. The Dodgers are 1-4 their last 5 games as underdogs and they are 1-4 their last 5 games overall. PLAY ON ST LOUIS w/Pineiro

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Tuesdays Free Expert MLB Picks

Freddy Wills
MLB | Jul 28
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona D-Backs
Total
7½ un+100
at BOOKM

Take Under 7.5 Runs 1-DIME PLAY (1-5SCALE)
Despite how well the Phillies have hit vs. RHP as of late and over their career they will face Danny Harren for the 1st time for some of the key players on this team. Ryan Howard has never faced him as Harren has no pitched against them since 2003 when he was with the Cardinals.

In limited at bats Rollins, Utley, Werth, and Feliz have a combined 5-33 (.151average) against Harren. The line opened up with the Diamondbacks being favored at -130, but has dropped significantly to -112 and I think it is not because Vegas expects Harren to pitch poorly but rather for Cole Hamels to have a great outing. Last night another Phillies lefty went 6.2 IP giving up 0ER.

Cole Hamels in his career is 2-0 12.2IP giving up 3ER vs. the Diamondbacks. He has struggled a bit on the road, but he'll be going up against an offense I think he'll have success against with his change up. Hamels has just 5 BB's in his last 5 starts something I think he'll build on here today facing a team he should be able to beat.

The Under is 10-4 in Harren's last 14 vs. a team with a winning records. A stat I love because it just proves he gets up for big games against winning teams. Expect a pitching duel here today folks.

MLB | Jul 28
Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins
Florida Marlins
+110
at SIA
> 1h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Florida Marlins +110
Both of these teams enter this series playing well, but I'll side with the home team at an underdog price tonight. One of the major keys is that the Braves are 0-7 in Jurrjens' last 7 starts during game 1 of a series while the Marlins are 18-6 in Nolasco's last 24 starts during game 1 of a series. Research also shows that the Braves are in a letdown spot tonight as they are only 1-14 in road games after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons and 1-10 in road games after scoring 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The Marlins are a perfect 8-0 in Nolasco's last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. He's coming off a 2-hit gem in San Diego and I like him to lead the Fish to a victory this evening.

MLB | Jul 28
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
-123
at BOOKM
> 2h.
At 8:10pm our complimentary selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Chicago White Sox. White Sox ace Mark Buehrle did something in his last start (throwing a perfect game) that only 17 other pitchers in history have done. Moreover, his perfect game against the Tampa Bay Rays was his second career no-hitter. To say that a letdown tonight against the Twins in Minnesota is a possibility may be an understatement. It's only been two starts, and about two weeks since Buehrle had his worst start of the season in the Metrodome on July 12, his last start before the All-Star break. It was extremely ugly and Buehrle's only loss in his last five starts. He will face the same Minnesota starter that he faced that day -- righthanded veteran Scott Baker. Since Baker's win 16 days ago, he has had two more starts (both on the road) and pitched very well, surrendering only three earned runs in 13 innings. The Twins will no doubt be happy to be back home for this series after a nine-game road trip as they are 29-20 at home vs. 21-30 on the road. That win on July 12 over the Sox was par for the course as the Twins have won nine of the last 11 games that these two teams have played at the Metrodome. Take the Twins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

Al McMordie CONTINUED HIS RED-HOT ROLL on Monday, as he CA$HED his Totals play on the 'under' in the Cubs/Astros game. Congrats to all who joined. Big Al's now a SCORCHING HOT 13-2-1 in the 2nd Half of the Baseball season, and has a SIDE WINNER for you today. Go get it.

MLB | Jul 28
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
-137
at JAMAICA
> 1h.
Craig's top plays are smoking hot 12-2 since the all star break and 2-0 yesterday!! Get in today as Craig has his top UNDERDOG of WEEK going TUESDAY. Craig's Underdog plays are 2-0 the last three weeks! GUARANTEED! Good news for everyone Craig's free plays are equally as hot going 11-2 since the break. Today we look to continue the hot streak!

NYY -137: The hottest team in the league winning 10 of 11 since the all star break. They exploded yesterday dismantling TB winning 11-4. Good news for the Yankees they have ace Sabathia going today trying to win his third win in a row. CC is a second half pitcher and is just starting to get warmed up. Historically Sabathia has been great vs TB with a 7-1 2.63 ERA in 12 career starts. The bats of the NYY have been smoking averaging over 8 runs the last 15 games. On the other side they face Kazmir on the mound who has not been good this year. In fact his ERA is approaching 7.00 ERA this season. Historically he has been great against the NYY but he just does not have the same velocity or command he had last year. The NYY will dominate Kazmir early and often and extend there hot streak. EASY m/l Winner. SCORE NYY 8 - TB 3


-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 28
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
OFF
at BODOG
> 4h.
The Toronto Blue Jays were in first place in the tough American League East for awhile, but went into a tailspin that saw them go 6-17 and dip below the .500 mark. They have now gotten it turned around winning their last two, and whipping up on Felix Hernandez who was untouchable over the past two months. They will get another hot pitcher in Jerrod Washburn tonight, but the Mariners are in a colossal struggle right now. The M's have dropped four straight, but that isn't all the story. They have been manhandled to the tune of 42-10 in the four games. For as good as he has been lately, Washburn is just 16-36 in his last 52 starts on grass. This looks like a live dog here and I'll play the Blue Jays in this one.

MLB | Jul 28
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
Total
10½ un-115
at BOOKM
> 1h.
Got my ass handed to me on the Dodgers last night as a 2 Unit Top Play. On a 10-3 run now, but that one stung a bit. After pulling Wolf with a 2-1 deficit, the Cards poured it on the bullpen for LA, and I lost a rare top play. The Dodgers could not stop stranding runners! Anyway no excuses, just solutions boys.


I come back with a Triple Header for 20-bucks tonight and my last 4 triple headers have ALL cashed, so I expect a full rebound tonight guys and keep my hot streak alive. Thats less than 7 bucks a play and I look for another sweep tonight, I LOVE these games!


UNDER 10 Kansas City / Balitmore


Some trends with some backing here tonight. The O's are 13-3-2 on the Under their last 18 as a favorite, and the UNDER is 6-2 for the O's in Jason Berkins last 8 starts. Neither team has much in the hitting department and Bryan Bannister takes the mound for KC, and has a solid ERA, although his record just proves with a low ERA, you need run support, and KC rarely gives it. The Under is 21-8-2 in KC's last 31 road games.


Free Play on the Under 10 runs


-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 28
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros
+109
at 5DIMES
> 2h.
Take the Houston Astros on the Moneyline, We are getting solid value here Tuesday night with the Astros who have Roy Oswalt (6-4, 3.66 ERA) on the mound. Oswalt has pitched solid on the road this season with an ERA of just 3.37 allowing just 56 hits over 72 innings while striking out 52 batters. Oswalt has also pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.86 while lasting an average of 7.3 innings per start. This is Ryan Dempster's (5-5, 4.09 ERA) first start since July.2 so I do not expect him to throw deep into this game and both teams bullpens are not rested since last night's game went into the 13th inning. The Cubs are just 1-5 in Dempster's last 6 starts and the Astros are a perfect 5-0 in Oswalt's last 5 starts coming into Tuesday night's game. The Cubs are 0-4 in Dempster's last 4 starts against the Astros and they are just 3-6 when he has pitched at night this season. Take the Houston Astro's as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday night.

Vernon Croy crushed the books again last night cashing his 5* MLB NL Game of the Month with the Chicago Cubs winning 5-1 with the long ball! Vernon Croy's Huge 20-10 MLB Run continues right here with his MLB SMASH which is his only play released for Tuesday! Get on it now!

MLB | Jul 28
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros
+109
at 5DIMES
> 2h.
Game Two of this three-game series at Wrigley Field between the host Chicago Cubs and the visiting Houston Astros is set for Tuesday night with the first pitch at 8:05PM EST. Houston even though they do not have a winning record on the road the last two seasons they have been profitable for their backers posting a record of 61-65 for +13.1 Units. During the second half of the season the last two years they have been solid going 60-41 for +23.7 Units. The Astros will send Roy Oswalt to the bump with his 6-4 record and ERA of 3.66 on the season. He will face a Cubs team that is ranked 25 in hitting averaging .252 at the plate scoring 4.3 runs per game. Oswalt is 4-2 on the road with an ERA of 3.37 and 1-0 his last three outings with an ERA of 2.86 with the Astros 3-0 behind him over that span. He is also 15-4 (+10.9) during the second half of the season the last two years and 23-4 (+18.3) when facing a winning team with a win percentage of 51 to 54 percent. Chicago will send Ryan Demptser to the hill with his 5-5 record and ERA of 4.09. Dempster is 4-1 at home this season with a 4.12 ERA but over his last three trips to the mound he is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.91 while the Cubs are 1-2 behind him over that span. The Cubs are 2-5 in his last 7 as a favorite in this price range, 1-5 in Dempster’s last 6 overall and 0-9 if he is coming off a quality start in his last outing. With support for the visitor coming from both the fundamental and technical elements we will back them here as they get the game two victory at Wrigley Field on Tuesday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Houston Astros 3 Chicago Cubs 1

MLB | Jul 28
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona D-Backs
Total
7½ un+100
at BOOKM
> 4h.
Free Play for July 28, 2009
1 Unit on Phillies/D-backs UNDER 7.5 +100
Dan Haren has been unbelievable this season with a 2.14 ERA so it comes as no surprise that the Under is 10-4 in Haren's last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Phillies send Cole Hamels to the hill, and while he hasn't been the pitcher we saw dominate in the playoffs last fall, he figures to fare well tonight against one of the worst lefty pitching teams in baseball. The Snakes are scoring just 3.7 runs per game against lefty starters on the season. The Under is 5-1 in Hamels' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Under in this battle of aces.

MLB | Jul 28
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
-133
at 5DIMES
> 1h.
Free Play for 7/28/09
1 Unit on NY Yankees -133
The Yanks are on a tear, having won 10 of their last 11, and they get my support tonight at a reasonable price with Sabathia on the rubber, who is 7-1 lifetime when starting against Tampa Bay with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.034. Kazmir has really struggled this season, especially at home where he is just 1-3 with an ERA of 9.50 and a WHIP of 1.889 in 7 stars. The Yanks are torching lefty starters this season, hitting over .300 against them and scoring 5.8 runs per game. That kind of offensive production has helped them achieve a phenomenal 21-11 mark against southpaw starters this season. Tampa Bay has not been nearly as good against the lefty starters, scoring just 4.8 runs per game against them and hitting just .260. I'll back the Yanks in this battle of southpaws tonight.

MLB | Jul 28
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
Houston Astros
+103
at 5DIMES
> 2h.
Houston @ Chicago Cubs 8:05 PM EST
Play On: Houston (Oswalt/Dempster) Listed

Roy Oswalt is 6-4 with a 3.66 ERA overall this year, 4-2 with a 3.37 ERA on the road and 1-0 with a 2.86 ERA his last 3 starts. Dempster is 4-9 with a 4.80 ERA overall vs Houston since 1997. Astros are 15-6 in their last 21 games following a loss. Astros are 5-0 in Oswalts last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Astros are 5-0 in Oswalts last 5 starts. Astros are 5-0 in Oswalts last 5 starts on grass. Astros are 5-0 in Oswalts last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Astros are 8-2 in Oswalts last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 4-1 in Oswalts last 5 road starts. Astros are 4-1 in Oswalts last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Cubs are 1-5 in Dempsters last 6 starts. Cubs are 1-5 in Dempsters last 6 starts on grass. Cubs are 1-6 in Dempsters last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Cubs are 0-5 in Dempsters last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Cubs are 0-9 in Dempsters last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Cubs are 0-4 in Dempsters last 4 starts vs. Astros. We'll recommend a small play on Houston tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

MLB | Jul 28
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
+101
at 5DIMES
> 4h.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Toronto as they face Seattle set to start at 10:10 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 62-37 making 30.2 units since 1997. Play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that is a cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher sporting an ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games. Toronto is 17-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line versus an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season; 15-7 (+10.9 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons. Seattle not in a good spot noting they are just 14-22 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. Seattle starter Washburn is just 13-28 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Toronto starter Rzepczynski has been quite good – better than management though – in his first 4 starts since his contract was purchased from Las Vegas. He has tremendous movement with all of his pitches as a result has some control issues. But, Batters are hitting only 177 against him and it will take at least 4 more starts before scouting reports catch up with this young talented starter. Washburn has been quite good in July sporting a 1.45 ERA, but 4 Toronto players are batting over 300 against him in their careers. Players are batting 298 on Washburn's fastball and Toronto has a lineup of hitters that can work the count in order to get FB situations. Take Toronto.

MLB | Jul 28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
+106
at JAMAICA
> 2h.
InfoPlays Tuesday, July 28th Free Play:

3* on L.A. Dodgers +106

(Listing Billingsley)

Reasons why the Dodgers win:

1.) L.A. is the owner of the best record in baseball, and any time you can get this team as an underdog it is a wise move to pull the trigger. This is especially the case with Ace Chad Billingsley on the mound. Billingsley is a 10-game winner with a 3.72 ERA on the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA on the road this season.

2.) The Dodgers are a PERFECT 10-0 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. They won’t be losing 3 in a row tonight. Also, L.A. is 17-8 as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Bet the Dodgers on the road.

MLB | Jul 28
Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins
Atlanta Braves
-115
at SPBOOK
> 1h.
Martin’s Tuesday MLB Free Play:

1 Unit on Atlanta Braves -115

(Listing Jurrjens Only)

Atlanta’s Jair Jurrjens is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He has been consistently brilliant all season, and even better of late. Jurrjens is 9-7 with a 2.67 ERA through 23 starts this season. In the month of July, Jurrjens is 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA where opposing hitters are batting .162. Jurrjens is 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA over his last 3 starts as well. Ricky Nolasco has been far from consistent, compiling a 7-7 record with a 5.42 ERA on the season. He's been anything but dominant against Atlanta. Nolasco posted a 10.57 ERA in three losses to the Braves in 2008, allowing 10 homers in 15 1-3 innings. McCann is 7 for 19 (.368) with two homers against Nolasco, while Chipper Jones is 9 for 16 (.563) with three home runs. The home team is 0-5 in the season series between the Braves and Marlins. Jurrjens is 9-1 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with the Braves as the favorite.

MLB | Jul 28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers
+110
at SIA
> 2h.
Look for the Dodgers to bounce back here against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Dodgers lost to the Cardinals last night 6-1 but did have 11 hits in the game, 9 coming off Chris carpenter. The Dodgers faltered once they had men in scoring position. As a team the Dodgers were 3-15 with men in scoring position. The Dodgers hope to rebound behind Chad Billingsley (10-5, 3.72). The righty bounced back from his worst start of the year to hold Cincinnati to two runs while striking out seven in six innings of a 6-2 victory last week. The Cardinals will counter with Adam Wainwright (11-6, 2.95 ERA). The Dodgers are 21-7 as an underdog of +150 or less and have to good of an offense to be held to one run in back -to-back games.

Monday, July 27, 2009

Mondays Free Baseball Picks

Freddy Wills
MLB | Jul 27
Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
-1½-145
at JAMAICA
> 6h.
Take Red Sox -1.5 (-145) 2DIMES (1-5SCALE) We are 23-13 in our last 36 Free picks and our MLB POD's now over 70% at 71-30 after sweeping last week going 7-0. Tonight we are taking the Red Sox run line against the Oakland A's.

Josh Becket has a 0.85ERA in his last three starts at home coming off a road start. He'll have extra stuff here tonight as he is on 5 days rest and the Red Sox are 7-0 in his last 7 starts on 5 days rest. Becket has struggled at times on the road with a 4.34ERA this year, but at home here tonight he is 6-0 with a 2.44 ERA. Oakland has just a .222 average vs. Becket and they are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a RH starter.

Trevor Cahill will take the mound for the A's and he has pitched much worse on the road with a 5.35ERA compared to his 4.04ERA at home. The book continues to get out on Cahill as he starts to make his 2nd start against teams such as Boston who he threw 5.1IP and gave up 4ER in a start earlier this season. Oakland is 8-22 in their last 30 trips to Boston and of their 31 losses on the road this season 74.9% have come by more than 1 run. Take the Sox on the run line.

MLB | Jul 27
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
-1½-105
at BOOKM
> 9h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on San Francisco Giants -1.5 -105
Plays against all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against an opponent with a hot starting pitcher - WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts, are 65-5 over the last 5 seasons. The Giants are one of the strongest home teams in the league at 31-15 and they are in good hands with Lincecum (10-3, 2.45 ERA) on the hill this evening. The Giants are 44-12 in their last 56 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater and 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 starts as a home favorite of -201 or greater. Take S.F. for 1 unit on the run line.

MLB | Jul 27
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
-150
at JAMAICA
> 6h.
Free Play for July 27, 2009
1 Unit on Baltimore Orioles -150
Rich Hill has had his share of struggles for the O's this season, but he has always received great run support. In fact, the O's are 8-4 in his starts this season and a perfect 4-0 in his home starts. But it is no secret that Hill is on the hot seat in Baltimore and I expect him to turn in one of his best outings of the season tonight against the lowly Royals. The Royals have dropped 11 of their last 12 games and they send a starting pitcher to the hill in Bruce Chen that has not recorded a Major League win since 2005. Chen is 0-5 with an ERA of 6.84 in 5 starts this season and is 0-3 with an ERA of 9.00 on the road. The Royals are just 8-21 in the last 29 meetings in Baltimore and I'll fade them for a unit here.

MLB | Jul 27
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers
-130
at JAMAICA
> 7h.
Rangers Ballpark in Arlington Texas will be the site of a three-game set between the host Texas Rangers and the visiting Detroit Tigers. Texas has been solid at home posting a record of 32-19 (+10.3) averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Tigers are 21-29 (-7.4) when playing away from home averaging 4.0 runs per game and 8-26 (-17.1) on the road playing against a winning team during the second half of the season. Detroit is 8-20 (-10.5) as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season and 5-16 (-9.9) as a road underdog in the same price range. Texas will send right-hander Tommy Hunter to the bump with his 2-1 record and ERA of 2.17. Over his last three starts he is 2-0 with an ERA of 1.04. The Tigers will send Armando Galarraga to the mound with his 5-8 record and ERA of 4.82 on the season. Galarraga is 2-11 (10.7) when he takes the hill under the lights and 1-7 his last 8 starts as an underdog. Galarraga has struggled his last three outings going 0-1 with an ERA of 2.66 and the Tigers going 0-3 (-3.6) behind him over that span. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Rangers win tonight over the Tigers by 1.3 runs and our Math Model also favors the host by 0.87 runs. We will back the Rangers here as they grab game one on Monday night in Arlington.

Graded Selection: 2* Texas Rangers 5 Detroit Tigers 4

MLB | Jul 27
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
-144
at BOOKM
> 7h.
Craig is not kidding around now, he has been getting down to business with a super hot run since the all star break (10-2 top plays) and (10-2 free picks). Yesterday easy winner with TEX covering easily. Today's game will cover just as easy GUARANTEED winner get in now! Now lets get back on track with our free play for today!

CHC -148: This line is already moved up 20 pts so make sure you lock it in quick. The Cubs are trying to win there 5th in a row whereas HOU is trying to avoid a three game losing streak. CHC turn to ace Zambrano who has been very good verse HOU this year going 1-0 in two starts with a 1.29 ERA. Big Z has won three games in a row and looks to have regained his form since early season struggles. HOU will counter with there top pitcher this year Rodriguez who has been great as of late. He has a 2.72 ERA on the season but struggles a little on road with a record of only 5-4. Look for this to be pitchers duel early. As this games moves into the HOU bullpen in the 6th or 7th inning look for CHC to take advantage and win late. HOU is struggling at the plate right now losing two to the pitiful banged up Mets. CHC pull away late. SCORE CHC 4 - HOU 1


-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
+165
at SIA
> 9h.
Take the Toronto Blue Jays on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and we are getting solid value here tonight with the better overall team. Felix Hernandez (11-3, 2.45 ERA) has pitched solid this season but the Jays are hitting .282 as a team on the road this season which is one of the majors top averages and Hernandez has pitched better away from home this season. The Jays are 7-1 in Ricky Romero's (8-4, 3.44) last 8 starts when pitching with just 4 days rest and he has an advantage against the Mariners because they have never faced him before. Seattle is just 8-25 in their last 32 games after allowing 10 or more runs in their previous game and the Jays are a perfect 4-0 in Romero's last 4 starts as an underdog. Romero has been very good at pitching himself out of trouble and I look for him to have a solid start tonight on the road. The Mariners are just 1-6 in their last 7 home games against a team that has a losing record on the road and they are hitting just .229 as a team over their last 7 games while averaging just 3.1 rpg. Take the Toronto Blue Jays as my MLB Free Play for Monday night.

Vernon Croy crushed the books last night with the Chicago White Sox winning hands down as his 5* MLB ESPN Game of the Month and his Huge MLB Run continues Monday Night with his 5* MLB NL Game of the Month. Get on it now!

MLB | Jul 27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
-166
at JAMAICA
> 9h.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Seattle as they play host to Toronto set to start at 10:10 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone an amazing 86-20 making 52.2 units since 1997 for 81% winners. Play on all favorites with a money line of -150 or more in the second half of the season and is a below average hitting team batting <=.265 facing a good starting AL pitcher sporting an ERA <=4.20. Here is a second system hitting 85% winners since 2003 for an 82-14 mark making 55.5 units. Play against road dogs with a money line of +150 or more and is a cold hitting team batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher sporting a WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts. Seattle is further reinforced by a supporting cast of angles. Note that they are 14-7 (+8.4 Units) against the money line versus AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season. Seattle starter Hernandez is also 15-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Hernandez is in top form posting a 1.57 ERA and 0.783 WHIP in his last 3 starts and is 11-3 with a 2.45 ERA for the season. He has thrown 23 innings allowed just 4 ER with ZERO home runs allowing 4 BB while recording 23 K’s spanning those 3 starts. Toronto starter Romero has had a solid season and will certainly be looking for a big pay raise off his league minimum 400K he is earning this season. Yet, fatigue is fast becoming an enemy for him. He has allowed 4 ER in 2 straight starts and since July, when his ERA was 2.85, is season ERA has steadily been on the climb. He has also thrown 100+ pitches in 9 of the last 11 starts. The 2 starts where he did not reach the century mark he still threw 93 and 99. Take Seattle.

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