Sunday, August 9, 2009

Sundays Free MLB Picks

Vernon Croy
-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Aug 09
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
-130
at BODOG
Started
1* Take the Detroit Tigers on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Twins are just 0-8 in Scott Baker's (9-7, 4.59 ERA) last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Baker was hit hard in his only start against the Tigers this season allowing 7 hits and 5 earned runs over just 6 innings and I look for the Tigers to hit him hard Sunday afternoon. The Twins are just 2-6 in their last 8 games overall and they are just 1-5 in their last 6 games in game 3 of a series. The Tigers are 15-4 in their last 19 home games against a right hand starter and Jarrod Washburn (8-7, 2.93 ERA) has pitched solid overall this season so I look for him to bounce back after a rough outing against the Orioles. Washburn has owned the Twins this season allowing just 1 earned run over 2 starts (14 innings) against them and I look for him to have a solid start Sunday afternoon. Take the Detroit Tigers as my MLB Free Play for Sunday afternoon.

Vernon Croy is ready to crush the books Sunday night with his NFL Hall of Fame Game Top Play so make sure you get on it now!

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Aug 09
Arizona D-Backs vs. Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
+103
at 5DIMES
Started
Don't look now but the Nationals are winning! They have posted seven straight wins and go for a sweep over the Diamondbacks this afternoon. I think they get it. Are the Nationals as good as they are playing right now? No. But they weren't as bad as their record indicated before this run, either. Their offense has been decent all season (4.6 runs per game). The problem for them has been pitching. J.D. Martin doesn't instill a whole lot of confidence, but I think he'll do well enough vs. Yusmeiro Petit who hasn't done any better this season. And with the Nats averaging 6.9 runs per game over their win streak, I like them here at home. Arizona is a losing road team in the midst of a long road trip. They have gone 1-7 this season after 7+ straight road games. When favoried at -100 to -150, the D-Backs are just 19-33 this season. Petit is 1-8 as a favorite over the past two seasons. I like the home team here.

MLB | Aug 09
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
Total
7½ un-120
at BOOKM
> 2h.
Cincinnati is 15-7-1 UNDER with Aaron Harang vs. NL West teams and they are 21-8-1 UNDER when Harang pitches game 3 of a series. The Reds are 7-2 UNDER their last 9 games as underdogs and they are 7-2-1 UNDER vs. a team with a winning record. San Francisco is 21-8-2 UNDER their last 31 games as favorites and they are 35-16-4 UNDER vs. a team with a losing record. The Giants are 6-0 UNDER with Matt Cain if he has 5 days of rest and they are 5-0 UNDER in the last 5 starts made by Cain overall. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Cain vs. Harang)

MLB | Aug 09
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
-130
at BODOG
Started
Minnesota @ Detroit 1:05 PM EST
Play On: Detroit (Baker/Washburn) Listed

Minnesota is 54-56 overall this year while Detroit comes in with a 58-51 overall record this season. Minnesota skunked Detroit 11-0 last night so I feel like Detroit will be seeking major revenge today. Detroit is 14-6 this year at home when the money line is -100 to -125. Minnesota has lost 6 of their last 8 games overall. Detroit has won 4 of their last 6 games overall. Detroit bullpen has a 3.62 ERA at home this year. Washburn's record doesn't give him justice this year as he has pitched well. Washburn is 8-7 with a 2.93 ERA overall this year, 5-3 with a 2.84 ERA at home and 1-1 with a 3.26 ERA his last 3 starts. Washburn has a 3.05 ERA overall vs Minnesota since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Detroit today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

MLB | Aug 09
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
-125
at SPBOOK
> 2h.
Free Play for August 9, 2009
1 Unit on Tampa Bay Rays -125
I look for the Rays to continue their run of strong play this afternoon behind Scott Kazmir, who has dominated the Mariners in his career. Kazmir 3-0 when starting against Seattle with an ERA of 1.53 and a WHIP of 1.023 lifetime. Plus, the Rays are 4-1 in Kazmir's last 5 starts and 25-11 in his last 36 starts as a favorite. In addition, the M's have struggled severely against southpaw starters, going just 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. I'll take the Rays this afternoon.

MLB | Aug 09
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
+115
at SIA
Started

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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Twins as they face the Tigers set to start at 1:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 34-15 making 19.7 units since 2003. Play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after allowing 1 run or less facing an opponent after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games. Twins are 24-12 (+16.6 Units) against the money line versus a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons; 7-0 (+8.0 Units) against the money line after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season. Tigers are just 11-25 (-14.5 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better over the last 2 seasons; 2-9 (-7.7 Units) against the money line after allowing 9 runs or more this season. Take the Twins.



MLB | Aug 09
Florida Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Total
9 ov-120
at BOOKM
Started
Philly will be extremely warm & muggy today at CBP...
Play the Over as this line is fishy here at 9 with J Johnson on the bump

PLAY THE OVER

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MLB | Aug 09
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
+120
at SPBOOK
> 2h.
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 4:10 PM EDT
Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick
Money Line: 120
TheLos Angeles Dodgers will look to even their series with the Atlanta Braves after losing last night in the 10th inning 2-0 on a two-run homer By Kelly Johnson. Johnson also hit a home run on Friday night to help the Braves beat the Dodgers 9-5 in the 12th inning. Late game winners are nothing new for the Dodgers fans as Andre Ethier hit a three-run homer in the bottom of the ninth off Atlanta closer Rafael Soriano, his major league-leading fifth walk off hit of the season, to give Los Angeles a 5-4 victory over the Braves on Thursday night. The Dodgers have yet to lose three straight games this season and will be ready to keep their winning ways going.

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