| MLB | Jul 20 San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves -1½+130 at BOOKM | > 3h. |
| Streak is an understatement, Craig has won 9 games in a row since the All Star Break!! Don't miss out today as Craig's 5 star Top play of day is his ROAD WARRIOR WINNER!! Craig will keep up the hot streak GUARANTEED TODAY!! His free winner Monday is in the NL, don't miss it! ATL -1.5 (+134): The Braves are playing very good baseball lately winning 7 out of last 10 games overall and 3-1 at home!! Early in the season the bats had not been very good for the Braves but in the last 4 games they are averaging 6 runs per game. Today they turn to there young ace Hanson who is 4-0 since coming up from the minors in 7 games. He has allowed less than 2 runs per game and at home has been nearly unhittable. On the other side SFG have been very good lately overall but on the road they have struggled. In fact in July they are only 1-4 on the road and in that time period they are only averaging 1.7 runs per game on road!! Pitching has been very good all year but on the road they are not nearly as good. Sanchez goes for SF today and is coming off a complete game no hitter before the break. But don't be fooled he is not good on road going 0-7 this year with a 6.27 ERA. Hanson dominates today and wins in a blowout!! SCORE ATL 7 - SFG 1 | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates -116 at JAMAICA | > 3h. |
| At 7:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Pittsburgh Pirates over the Milwaukee Brewers. Pirate righthander and currently #4 starter Ross Ohlendorf, is no doubt glad to be opening up his second half with a start at home in PNC Park. Ohlendorf's last two starts before the break were on the road at Florida and Philly and the 26-year-old did not pitch well in either of those. But in his last three starts in front of the home faithful (albeit certainly not that many home faithful in Pittsburgh these days), Ohlendorf is 2-0 and has only surrendered three earned runs in 20 innings. And more importantly, the Pirates are 4-0 in Ohlendorf's last four home starts. Journeyman righthanded reliever-turned-starter Mike Burns will get another start for Milwaukee as Dave Bush continues to recover from a triceps injury that landed him on the DL almost a month ago. Burns seems to be alternating good and bad starts, and after beating the Dodgers with five strong innings in his last start, Burns would appear to be in line for another sub-par effort tonight. Brewers All-Star outfielder Ryan Braun was hit on the hand by a pitch on Friday night and is having trouble gripping the bat and although he played on Sunday, he was not effective in an 0-for-4 effort at the plate. Despite an overall record well under .500, the Pirates have been very tough at home this season (24-18). Take Pittsburgh. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. Al McMordie SWEPT THE BOARD AGAIN here for the 4TH STRAIGHT DAY, with Winners on Seattle and Philly, and Big Al's 5-0, 100% in the 2nd Half of the Season. Here, Big Al looks to extend his 100% STREAK with his MLB Roadkill of the Year out of 2 angles that combine for a 16-1 record. Get on it. | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals | New York Mets +116 at JAMAICA | > 3h. |
| Take the New York Mets on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and we are getting solid value here Monday night with the superior overall team who should not be dogs in this game. The Nationals just lost 4 straight to the Chicago Cubs and they are just 2-12 in their last 14 home games against a team that has a road winning record below .400. The Nationals are just 11-42 in their last 53 games against an NL East division opponent and they are just 14-41 in their last 55 games in game 1 of a series. The Mets are 20-7 in their last 27 games when playing a team that has a winning record below .400 and the Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Nationals. Livan Hernandez (5-5, 5.10 ERA) has owned the Nationals over two starts against them this season with an ERA of just 0.56 and I look for him to have a solid outing for the Mets who need him to pitch past the 6th inning tonight. Take the New York Mets as my MLB Free Play for Monday night. Vernon Croy is a red hot 8-2 on the bases since the All Star break and his 80% MLB run continues right here with his 3* Monday Night MLB SMASH so make sure you get on it now. Cubs/Phillies live on ESPN! | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | Atlanta Braves -161 at 5DIMES | > 3h. |
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Atlanta as they host SF set to start at 7:10 EST. SF is not in a good spot for this game noting that they are just 2-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line versus a starting pitcher with poor control walking more than 2.75 batters/start this season. Sanchez has not pitched well sporting a 5.00 ERA over his last 3 starts and also has posted a 6.62 ERA in road starts. Tommy Hanson has started 7 games and has been quite impressive in early all of them. He yielded 4 ER in 5 IP at Colorado, but many pitchers have their troubles in the thin air. Moreover, the SF team has never faced him and this is a significant advantage for Hanson. A player can get all of the scouting reports possible and that info is great to have, but it is a totally different story when you face that pitcher in a live situation. Atlanta skipper COX is a solid 106-44 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in home games versus an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse as the manager of the Braves. Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Washington as the host the Mets set to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 48-14 making 32.1 units since 2003. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games and with a cold starting pitcher sporting an ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts. Washington is a perfect 7-0 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Mets are just 9-20 (-10.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals -122 at 5DIMES | > 3h. |
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Atlanta as they host SF set to start at 7:10 EST. SF is not in a good spot for this game noting that they are just 2-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line versus a starting pitcher with poor control walking more than 2.75 batters/start this season. Sanchez has not pitched well sporting a 5.00 ERA over his last 3 starts and also has posted a 6.62 ERA in road starts. Tommy Hanson has started 7 games and has been quite impressive in early all of them. He yielded 4 ER in 5 IP at Colorado, but many pitchers have their troubles in the thin air. Moreover, the SF team has never faced him and this is a significant advantage for Hanson. A player can get all of the scouting reports possible and that info is great to have, but it is a totally different story when you face that pitcher in a live situation. Atlanta skipper COX is a solid 106-44 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in home games versus an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse as the manager of the Braves. Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Washington as the host the Mets set to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 48-14 making 32.1 units since 2003. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games and with a cold starting pitcher sporting an ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts. Washington is a perfect 7-0 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Mets are just 9-20 (-10.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies -144 at JAMAICA | > 4h. |
| Take the Rockies -148 2DIMES (1-5SCALE) The Rockies still stay hot winning another series unfortunately we had them in their sandwhich loss this weekend as our POD Saturday. Monday we have them as our free pick as I really like this pitching match up and the Rockies offense against LHP to get it done at home. Doug Davis has been hot as of late, and has pitched well on the road 3.17ERA this year, but the Diamondbacks are just 5-17 in his last 22 road starts so he is clearly not getting the run support he deserves and a bullpen that has a 4.75ERA does not impress me on the road. Davis has started against the Rockies earlier in the season and struggled lasting only 5 innings on 4H 4BB and 4ER. Expect much of the same on the road here tonight. The Rockies at home vs. LHP are hitting .315 this year and are scoring 7.69 R/9! DeLaRosa will start for the Rockies he owns a 2.21ERA last 3 starts and he goes up against the Diamondbacks who are one of the worst road teams when it comes to hitting LHP. They own a .197 average on the road scoring 3.41 R/9. DelaRosa has success here against the Diamondbacks especially in 2009 going 14.2IP 10H 2ER and 12K's. | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Total 9½ un+100 at 5DIMES | > 3h. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on Cubs/Phillies UNDER 9.5 I expect Ted Lilly and Rodrigo Lopez to duel tonight and the result should be a winner on the Under. Lilly has an ERA of 3.18 on the season and it is down to just 2.11 over his last 3 starts. Lopez is back healthy and I like his chances against a Cubs team which hasn't hit well on the road all season. The Under is a perfect 4-0 in Lilly's last 4 starts vs. the Phillies and 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings overall in this matchup. The Under is 11-3 in Lilly's last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 11-4 in the Cubs last 15 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Under is 5-0-1 in the Phillies last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter, 24-9-2 in their last 35 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5, and 10-4 in their last 14 overall. Odds makers have set the bar too high for these teams tonight and we'll look to take advantage. Bet the Under for a Unit. | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | Colorado Rockies -136 at JAMAICA | > 4h. |
| The Rockies return home off a four-game road trip where took three out of four games from the Padres with a 6 to 1 win on Sunday to take the series. They will host the Arizona Diamondbacks in a three-game series in the Mile High City with the first game set for Monday night and the first pitch scheduled for 8:40PM EST. The Diamondbacks are ranked 28th in the league in hitting with a batting average of .247 and averaging 4.3 runs per game this season. They will face a Rockies pitching staff that is ranked 16th in the league with an ERA of 4.29 and an opponent batting average of .266. Colorado will send Jorge De La Rosa to the bump with his 6-7 W/L record and ERA of 5.08 on the season. Over his last three outings he is a perfect 3-0 W/L with an ERA of 2.21 including a 5 to 0 win over this Diamondbacks team back on July 3rd where he threw 8 innings allowing no earned runs with four hits and six strikeouts. De La Rosa is 12-2 W/L (+10.4) when playing against a team with a win percentage of 38 percent to 46 percent over the last three years. The Rockies are ranked 18th in hitting with a batting average of .258 averaging 5.0 runs per game this season. Their runs per game increase to 5.6 when they take the field at Coors with a batting average of .278. Colorado will face a Diamondbacks pitching staff that is ranked 18th in the league with an earned run average of 4.30 and opponents have a batting average of .265 and an OBP of .330 against them this season. Arizona will send Doug Davis to the hill with his 4-9 W/L record and ERA of 3.41 this season. Arizona is 5-14 W/L in all his starts including 2-6 W/L when he takes the mound on the road. Over his last three starts Davis is 1-1 W/L with an ERA of 4.15 and the Diamondbacks are 1-2 W/L overall during that span. Arizona is 39-53 W/L (-16.34) this season including 28-37 W/L (-9.4) when playing under the lights and 9-16 W/L (-9.5) when facing left-handed starters. Data base research has uncovered three MLB Systems that are active for tonight’s game. Play ON any MLB team with a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits per start with a starting pitcher who has an ERA of >=6.50 over his last ten starts, 62-39 W/L (+41.4) since 1997. If our Play ON team is at home the record is 38-19 W/L (+27.5) since 1997. Finally we want to Play ON MLB Home Teams who average five or more runs per game against a starting pitcher who has an ERA of 3.70 or better and an ERA of 2.50 or better over his last three starts, 41-11 W/L (+27.4) the last five seasons. Our TPR Index projects a Rockies win in this game by 2.4 runs over the Diamondbacks and our Math Model also favors the host by 1.87 runs. We will lay the chalk as the Rockies continue their solid play and get a game one victory over the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday night in the Mile High City. Graded Selection: 2* Colorado Rockies 6 Arizona Diamondbacks 4 | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Cincinnati Reds +145 at BODOG | > 6h. |
| The Dodgers used solid pitching to take the final two games of their series with Houston to gain the four-game split. I do not think the same type of pitching will be on display tonight as the fifth spot in the rotation, which has been dicey all season, could be even more fragile. The Reds continue to hand around in their division following a weekend split as well. This is a big trip for Cincinnati who has the Cubs following this three-game set so this could be the make or break week. Los Angeles will be bringing out veteran Jason Schmidt who has not pitched in the Majors in over two years because of several injuries and setbacks. He has lost a lot of velocity on the pitches and his fastball is what made him so successful in the past. Schmidt has made eight rehab appearances in the minors, going a combined 3-1 with a 3.65 ERA in stops at Class A and Triple-A, and while those numbers are solid, this is a whole new ballgame. Cincinnati counters with Micah Owings who has been consistently inconsistent this season. He is coming off his worst start of the season before the break where he allowed seven runs in just 4.1 innings against the Phillies. The time off should have helped and the good news is that he rarely has put back-to-back bad performances together. In his last three starts where he allowed five runs or more, he followed those up with solid outings of giving up three runs or less in each and posting a combined 3.31 ERA. He has fared well against the Dodgers in the past while in Arizona as he has a 3.71 ERA in three career starts. The Reds fall into a solid contrarian underdog situation. Play on National League teams with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.55 to 1.65 on the season and is coming off a game where he allowed seven runs or more. This situation is 112-73 (60.5 percent) since 1997. The Dodgers are 3-7 in their last 10 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. 3* Cincinnati Reds
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| MLB | Jul 20 New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals -123 at BODOG | > 3h. |
| Both the New York Mets and the Washington Nationals have sure struggled over the last month or so, and the Mets have been reduced to a poor team because of multiple injuries to key players. The results of which have diminished their offense to a fragment of what it once was. The Mets have struggled so bad they have been shutout six times in their last 23 games. They have also scored three runs or less in 16 of their last 23 - certainly hard to find the win column with such poor production. They will go with Livan Hernandez in this one who has been a colossal struggle on the hill, sporting an 11.57 ERA over his last three starts. This is more of a fade the Mets play, than a play on the Nats as the Mets are not only physically bankrupt right now, they are emotionally bankrupt. I will go with the Nats in this one. | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros -101 at 5DIMES | > 4h. |
| St Louis @ Houston 8:05 PM EST Play On: Houston (Lohse/Moehler) Listed St Louis is 2-8 this year when playing on Monday. Houston has won 6 of their last 9 games overall. Houston bullpen has a 3.52 ERA at home this year. Kyle Lohse is 0-2 with a 6.14 ERA on the road this year. Brian Moehler is 2-1 with a 1.93 ERA his last 3 starts. Moehler is 4-0 with a 3.46 ERA overall vs St Louis since 1997. Moehler's teams are 7-0 overall during his starts vs St Louis since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Houston tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky | ||
| MLB | Jul 20 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox +102 at JAMAICA | > 4h. |
| Free Play for July 20, 2009 1 Unit on Chicago White Sox +102 We'll back the Sox for 1 Unit tonight behind Floyd as they are 21-6 in Floyd's last 27 home starts and a perfect 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog. The Rays have been fool's gold as a road favorite as they are just 9-23 in their last 32 games as a road favorite and 4-13 in their last 17 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Rays send Price to the hill and he has been less than impressive on the road with a 0-2 record and an ERA over 7.00. Expect these struggles to continue for Price tonight as the Sox have done their most damage at the plate against lefty starters this season. | ||
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