Thursday, July 23, 2009

Thursdays Free MLB Picks

Free $25,000 MLB Streak Contest!

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 23
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
-173
at SPBOOK
Started
This is becoming a recurring theme, but it is because the Giants have dictated a distinct pattern, both favorable and unfavorable. The Giants have been under the radar and have emerged as a viable playoff team behind their 31-15 home mark, and their top of the rotation pitchers in Cain, and Lincecum. That part of the pattern has put plenty into the win column and positioned them where they are now. There is however, another well defined pattern on the negative side. The Giants have struggled on the road this season. When they do battle without either Lincecum or Cain on the hill, they have posted just five wins on the road all season long. The Braves have a very hot hand right now, especially playing at home where they are now 10-1 in their last 11 games. I'm riding with the Braves in this one.

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 23
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
-114
at 5DIMES
Started
Take the Chicago White Sox on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the White Sox have the superior pitcher on the mound today with Mark Buehrle (10-3, 3.52 ERA). Buehrle has pitched solid at home this season with an ERA of just 2.81 over 11 starts and he allowed just 1 earned run in his last outing over 7.3 innings while walking no batters. Buehrle is 14-1 with a 2.47 ERA in his last 20 starts at home dating back to the 1st game after the 2008 All Star game. Scott Kazmir (4-5, 6.62) walked 6 batters and left the game after just 4 innings in his last start against the White Sox while giving up 2 homeruns back on June.18 and I look for the White Sox to hit him hard this afternoon. The Rays are just 1-6 in Kazmir's last 7 starts after a quality start in his last outing and the White Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 games against a lefty starter. Take the Chicago White Sox as my MLB Free Play for Thursday afternoon.

Vernon Croy's 12-6 MLB Run continues with his HUGE Thursday Night MLB SMASH that is backed by a 100% perfect angle that puts cash in your pocket again. Get on it now!

MLB | Jul 23
Sdg Padres vs. Phi Phillies
Phi Phillies
-1½-125
at JAMAICA
> 3h.
Craig's SMOKING HOT STREAK continued yesterday as he went 3-0 taking his record to 14-1 since the ALL Star BREAK! Don't miss Craig's Top 5 star RUN LINE Play of the Week!! Today Craig's free play is in the National League check it out.

PHI -1.5 (-120): PHI has won 10 of last 11 and in that stretch they have been scoring over 5 runs per game and only giving up 2 runs per game. On the other hand SD has been pitiful scoring only 2 runs per game over last 13 losing 11 of those games. Today PHI turns to Hammels to get them back to their winning ways. He is coming off a very good start and his home record is much better with a good ERA of 3.92! SD turns to Correia who has not been terrible but he usually only goes 5 innings giving up 2-3 runs. Bad news for SD as there bullpen has been overworked lately and has not performed very well. Today see SD being shut out while watching PHILLY score a bunch (over 7 runs). SCORE PHI 8 - SD 0


MLB | Jul 23
Min Twins vs. La Angels
La Angels
-150
at BETUS
> 6h.
Bases have been ON FIRE since the All Star Break with Premium Featured Plays at 6-1, and cashed a Top Play on Toronto last night, after a Triple header sweep on Tuesday. The board is short today and limited games with very chalky lines, and since I never lay over -150 I thought I would put out a FREE PLAY as my Best Bet on the Board tonight for Free and wait till the Weekend series games start tomorrow before cutting loose some more premium plays. THIS IS A FULL 1 UNIT PLAY GUYS!


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LA Angels -151


Cannot ignore the hitting by LA in this game, batting a whopping .326 as a team against right handers, which is the case tonight, as well as batting .306 against southpaws, overall as a team in the last 10 games. Throw in the fact one of the best hurlers Jered Weaver is on the hill tonight at 10-3 on the year, and he has a 3.41 ERA and 1.18 WHIP on the year to date, and you have the makings of a strong home team, hitting on all cylinders right now with an ace out of the starting rotation leading the way.


Tough to make a case for Scott Baker for the Twins who has an ERA approaching 6 for the season and is just 1 win over .500 as a starter. Looking at recent history the bullpen for Minnesota is weak at best and allow plenty of runners in scoring position with a 5.68 ERA on the season. Adding fuel to the fire tonight is the fact that LA is avenging a 3 game sweep on the road at the hands of the Twins earlier this season, so you know they will have their ears pinned back for this one, and Minnesota is off a series loss at Oakland and are playing their 7th straight road game tonight as well.


Play 1 Unit on the LA Angels tonight.


MLB | Jul 23
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
-116
at 5DIMES
Started
Take Tigers @ -115 (2DIMES) (1-5SCALE)
I like this play a lot it will be a 2 Dime Free Play rather than a 1 Dime. Today we have our Hot pitcher in Jarrod Washburn going for the Mariners, but that does not bother me at all. A quick run down of Washburn 3-0 0.66WHIP and 0.79ERA in his last three starts. Pretty impressive and Washburn has been quite consistent this year for the most part, but on the road he has had these bumps where he has allowed 4 or 6 ER in 4 of his last 7 road starts. I think he has one of those games against a lineup that hits lefties extremely well and who Washburn has struggled against in the past. His last 2 road starts here he has 9IP and 15ER. So enough on Washburn now onto his opponent Luke French.

French has 3 starts, which really is not much to go on, but I'm looking at the quality of opponents he has faced which are the Twins in their dome, and the Yankees @ hitter friendly Yankee Stadium. French has been nothing, but solid and in his only home start he pitched his best game going 6.1 IP giving up 6H and 1ER. Seatle struggles to get runs off LHP 4.43 R/9 on the road which is nothing compared to the Tigers who are scoring 8.17 R/9 vs. LHP at home. The Tigers continue to hit lefties and with Magglio Ordonez who I think is ready to turn the corner they will go on a hot streak. Magglio who has struggled all year is just waiting for Carlos Guillen to be healthy and he's going to get hot. Magglio went 2-3 HR and 4RBI in game 1 of this series.

Tigers also have the edge when you look at the important trends here. The Mariners are 17-36 in their L53 games when Washburn is coming off a quality start. To me he's not one to be known to throw back to back quality starts. The Mariners are 1-7 in Washburn's L8 starts as an under dog. Again Vegas is usually right when they pick him as an under dog. The Tigers success against LHP has been there all season they are 14-2 in their L16 overall vs. LH starters.

MLB | Jul 23
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
-104
at JAMAICA
Started
The White Sox took a 2-1 series lead in their four-game set versus the Rays with a win on Wednesday night at US Cellular Field in Chicago. They will send left-hander Mark Buehrle to the bump on Thursday afternoon in an effort to get the series win. Buehrle is 10-3 on the year with an ERA of 3.52 including 6-1 at home with an ERA of 2.81. The White Sox are 36-16 when Buehrle takes the hill as a favorite and they are 21-7 when he is installed as a favorite of -110 to -150. The numbers don’t end there as Buehrle is 6-1 his last 7 overall, 8-1 his last 9 at home when facing a team with a winning record and 10-0 (+10.0) when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. The Rays will send Scott Kazmir to the hill with his record of 4-5 on the season and an ERA of 6.62. That record includes a 3-2 mark on the highway with an ERA of 3.37 this season. Kazmir is coming in off a quality start at KC on Saturday throwing for 6 innings allowing one earned run on 4 hits and 3 strikeouts. This is not necessarily good news for Rays backers as Kazmir is only 1-6 his last 7 starts following a quality start in his last outing. Tampa Bay is 10-22 (-14.4) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. The White Sox will use the momentum gained from Wednesday’s win and take game four and the series from the defending AL Champs on Thursday afternoon at US Cellular Field.

Graded Selection: 2* Chicago White Sox 5 Tampa Bay Rays 2

MLB | Jul 23
Min Twins vs. La Angels
La Angels
-140
at 5DIMES
> 6h.
Minnesota @ LA Angels 10:05 PM EST
Play On: LA Angels (Baker/Weaver) Listed

Minnesota comes in with a 48-47 overall record this year while LA Angels are now 55-38 on the season. LA Angels are 8-2 this year when playing on Thursday. Angels are going for their 6th straight win tonight. Scott Baker has a 5.10 ERA overall this year. Jered Weaver is 10-3 with a 3.48 ERA overall this year, 7-1 with a 2.25 ERA at home and 2-0 his last 3 starts. LA Angels are 7-3 at home vs Minnesota last 3 years. Baker is 0-4 with a 5.88 ERA overall vs LA Angels since 1997. Weaver is 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA overall vs Minnesota since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Angels tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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