Friday, July 24, 2009

Fridays Free MLB Betting Picks

Free $25,000 MLB Streak Contest!

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 24
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
-148
at JAMAICA
> 5h.
Take the Chicago Cubs on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Cubs are starting to hit the ball a lot better averaging 5.4 rpg over their last 7 games while hitting .266 as a team. The Cubs opponents are hitting just .221 against them over their last 7 games and I look for Randy Wells (5-4, 3.00) to have a strong outing against a team he pitched great against back on June.7. Wells allowed just 7 hits and 2 earned runs over 6.7 innings in his last start against the Reds and that was in Cincinnati. The Reds pitching has been very bad on the road this month with an ERA of 7.78 over 10 road games and Aaron Harang (5-10, 4.17 ERA) has been hit hard over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.19 while lasting just an average of 5.3 innings per start. The Reds are just 2-8 in Harang's last 10 road starts as an underdog and they are just 1-7 in their last 8 games in game 1 of a series. The Reds are just 9-23 in their last 32 road games and the Cubs are a perfect 5-0 in Wells' last 5 starts as a favorite. Take the Chicago Cubs as my MLB Free Play for Friday afternoon.

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MLB | Jul 24
St Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
-130
at JAMAICA
> 9h.
The Philadelphia Phillies and the St. Louis Cardinals open a three-game set at Citizens Bank Park on Friday night with game one of the series set for 7:05PM Eastern Time. The Phillies bounced back from a loss to the Cubs on Wednesday by defeating the Padres 9 to 4 on Thursday night as part of a one-game series. The Phillies also took the three-game series from the Cubs even though they lost the third and final game. Philadelphia is 20-8 (+13.0) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season, 43-22 (+16.6) against NL Central opponents the last 2 seasons and 49-25 (+25.0) versus NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs per game on the season. The Phillies will send JA Happ to the bump with his 5-0 record and an ERA of 2.68. St. Louis will counter with Joel Pineiro who is 8-9 on the year with an ERA of 3.09 and he is 4-5 on the road with an ERA of 3.68 in those games. A check of the data base shows we have two MLB Systems active for tonight’s contest with the first telling us to Play Against MLB road teams who are batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games facing a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.000 or better over his last five starts, 126-42 (+64.6) the last five years and 20-4 (+14.6) this season. The second system says to Play On MLB home teams who average five or more runs per game now facing a starter with an ERA of 3.70 or better on the season with a pitcher whose ERA is less than 2.50 his last three outings, 42-11 (+28.4) the last five seasons and a perfect 3-0 (+3.0) this season. Lay the chalk with the host as the Phillies continue their solid play and grab game one of this series against the Cardinals.

Graded Selection: 2* Philadelphia Phillies 5 St. Louis Cardinals 2

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