| MLB | Jul 27 Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox -1½-145 at JAMAICA | > 6h. |
| Take Red Sox -1.5 (-145) 2DIMES (1-5SCALE) We are 23-13 in our last 36 Free picks and our MLB POD's now over 70% at 71-30 after sweeping last week going 7-0. Tonight we are taking the Red Sox run line against the Oakland A's. Josh Becket has a 0.85ERA in his last three starts at home coming off a road start. He'll have extra stuff here tonight as he is on 5 days rest and the Red Sox are 7-0 in his last 7 starts on 5 days rest. Becket has struggled at times on the road with a 4.34ERA this year, but at home here tonight he is 6-0 with a 2.44 ERA. Oakland has just a .222 average vs. Becket and they are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a RH starter. Trevor Cahill will take the mound for the A's and he has pitched much worse on the road with a 5.35ERA compared to his 4.04ERA at home. The book continues to get out on Cahill as he starts to make his 2nd start against teams such as Boston who he threw 5.1IP and gave up 4ER in a start earlier this season. Oakland is 8-22 in their last 30 trips to Boston and of their 31 losses on the road this season 74.9% have come by more than 1 run. Take the Sox on the run line. | ||
| MLB | Jul 27 Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants | San Francisco Giants -1½-105 at BOOKM | > 9h. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on San Francisco Giants -1.5 -105 Plays against all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against an opponent with a hot starting pitcher - WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts, are 65-5 over the last 5 seasons. The Giants are one of the strongest home teams in the league at 31-15 and they are in good hands with Lincecum (10-3, 2.45 ERA) on the hill this evening. The Giants are 44-12 in their last 56 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater and 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 starts as a home favorite of -201 or greater. Take S.F. for 1 unit on the run line. | ||
| MLB | Jul 27 Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles | Baltimore Orioles -150 at JAMAICA | > 6h. |
| Free Play for July 27, 2009 1 Unit on Baltimore Orioles -150 Rich Hill has had his share of struggles for the O's this season, but he has always received great run support. In fact, the O's are 8-4 in his starts this season and a perfect 4-0 in his home starts. But it is no secret that Hill is on the hot seat in Baltimore and I expect him to turn in one of his best outings of the season tonight against the lowly Royals. The Royals have dropped 11 of their last 12 games and they send a starting pitcher to the hill in Bruce Chen that has not recorded a Major League win since 2005. Chen is 0-5 with an ERA of 6.84 in 5 starts this season and is 0-3 with an ERA of 9.00 on the road. The Royals are just 8-21 in the last 29 meetings in Baltimore and I'll fade them for a unit here. | ||
| MLB | Jul 27 Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers | Texas Rangers -130 at JAMAICA | > 7h. |
| Rangers Ballpark in Arlington Texas will be the site of a three-game set between the host Texas Rangers and the visiting Detroit Tigers. Texas has been solid at home posting a record of 32-19 (+10.3) averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Tigers are 21-29 (-7.4) when playing away from home averaging 4.0 runs per game and 8-26 (-17.1) on the road playing against a winning team during the second half of the season. Detroit is 8-20 (-10.5) as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season and 5-16 (-9.9) as a road underdog in the same price range. Texas will send right-hander Tommy Hunter to the bump with his 2-1 record and ERA of 2.17. Over his last three starts he is 2-0 with an ERA of 1.04. The Tigers will send Armando Galarraga to the mound with his 5-8 record and ERA of 4.82 on the season. Galarraga is 2-11 (10.7) when he takes the hill under the lights and 1-7 his last 8 starts as an underdog. Galarraga has struggled his last three outings going 0-1 with an ERA of 2.66 and the Tigers going 0-3 (-3.6) behind him over that span. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Rangers win tonight over the Tigers by 1.3 runs and our Math Model also favors the host by 0.87 runs. We will back the Rangers here as they grab game one on Monday night in Arlington. Graded Selection: 2* Texas Rangers 5 Detroit Tigers 4 | ||
| MLB | Jul 27 Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs -144 at BOOKM | > 7h. |
| Craig is not kidding around now, he has been getting down to business with a super hot run since the all star break (10-2 top plays) and (10-2 free picks). Yesterday easy winner with TEX covering easily. Today's game will cover just as easy GUARANTEED winner get in now! Now lets get back on track with our free play for today! CHC -148: This line is already moved up 20 pts so make sure you lock it in quick. The Cubs are trying to win there 5th in a row whereas HOU is trying to avoid a three game losing streak. CHC turn to ace Zambrano who has been very good verse HOU this year going 1-0 in two starts with a 1.29 ERA. Big Z has won three games in a row and looks to have regained his form since early season struggles. HOU will counter with there top pitcher this year Rodriguez who has been great as of late. He has a 2.72 ERA on the season but struggles a little on road with a record of only 5-4. Look for this to be pitchers duel early. As this games moves into the HOU bullpen in the 6th or 7th inning look for CHC to take advantage and win late. HOU is struggling at the plate right now losing two to the pitiful banged up Mets. CHC pull away late. SCORE CHC 4 - HOU 1 | ||
-=TOP PLAY=-
| MLB | Jul 27 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners | Toronto Blue Jays +165 at SIA | > 9h. |
| Take the Toronto Blue Jays on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and we are getting solid value here tonight with the better overall team. Felix Hernandez (11-3, 2.45 ERA) has pitched solid this season but the Jays are hitting .282 as a team on the road this season which is one of the majors top averages and Hernandez has pitched better away from home this season. The Jays are 7-1 in Ricky Romero's (8-4, 3.44) last 8 starts when pitching with just 4 days rest and he has an advantage against the Mariners because they have never faced him before. Seattle is just 8-25 in their last 32 games after allowing 10 or more runs in their previous game and the Jays are a perfect 4-0 in Romero's last 4 starts as an underdog. Romero has been very good at pitching himself out of trouble and I look for him to have a solid start tonight on the road. The Mariners are just 1-6 in their last 7 home games against a team that has a losing record on the road and they are hitting just .229 as a team over their last 7 games while averaging just 3.1 rpg. Take the Toronto Blue Jays as my MLB Free Play for Monday night. Vernon Croy crushed the books last night with the Chicago White Sox winning hands down as his 5* MLB ESPN Game of the Month and his Huge MLB Run continues Monday Night with his 5* MLB NL Game of the Month. Get on it now! | ||
| MLB | Jul 27 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners | Seattle Mariners -166 at JAMAICA | > 9h. |
| Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Seattle as they play host to Toronto set to start at 10:10 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone an amazing 86-20 making 52.2 units since 1997 for 81% winners. Play on all favorites with a money line of -150 or more in the second half of the season and is a below average hitting team batting <=.265 facing a good starting AL pitcher sporting an ERA <=4.20. Here is a second system hitting 85% winners since 2003 for an 82-14 mark making 55.5 units. Play against road dogs with a money line of +150 or more and is a cold hitting team batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher sporting a WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts. Seattle is further reinforced by a supporting cast of angles. Note that they are 14-7 (+8.4 Units) against the money line versus AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season. Seattle starter Hernandez is also 15-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Hernandez is in top form posting a 1.57 ERA and 0.783 WHIP in his last 3 starts and is 11-3 with a 2.45 ERA for the season. He has thrown 23 innings allowed just 4 ER with ZERO home runs allowing 4 BB while recording 23 K’s spanning those 3 starts. Toronto starter Romero has had a solid season and will certainly be looking for a big pay raise off his league minimum 400K he is earning this season. Yet, fatigue is fast becoming an enemy for him. He has allowed 4 ER in 2 straight starts and since July, when his ERA was 2.85, is season ERA has steadily been on the climb. He has also thrown 100+ pitches in 9 of the last 11 starts. The 2 starts where he did not reach the century mark he still threw 93 and 99. Take Seattle. | ||
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