| MLB | Jul 30 Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers -1½-145 at BOOKM | > 1h. |
| Take Brewers -1.5 -130 2 Dime Free Play (1-5 scale) Let's start by saying the Nationals have lost 36 road games this year of those thirty six, 77.8% of them have come by more than one run! Make no mistake the Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 but they face a tough RHP today that they have never faced before with the exception of a few players who have been traded to the Nationals like Morgan who is 1-11 in his time with the Pirates. As a team combined they are 2-20 vs. Gallardo. More on Gallardo here he has a 3.09 ERA and has been consistent at home and on the road with an ERA at home of 3.03. During day starts he has flat out dominated with a 2.36ERA. His main issue is walking batters and that is the only way the Nationals will get to him. My one worry here and is the reason why I'm not taking this as a POD is the Nationals are ranked 2nd in the NL and 5th overall in taking walks. Don't think the Brewers don't know this and I expect Gallardo to go right after these guys. Note the Nats are also 7th in the league in strikeouts so that evens out. Nationals are 11-50 in their last 61 road games vs. a RH starter. J.D. Martin will make his 1st road start of his career and he'll face some intimidating hitters in Fielder and Braun to name a few. Brewers have been hitting RHP well as of late .314avg L5 and .291 L10 games. I expect them to be patient and get to the young RHP who lasted just 4IP giving up 5ER against the Mets in his 1st start. | ||
| MLB | Jul 30 New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox | New York Yankees -125 at BOOKM | > 7h. |
| At 8:10pm our complimentary selection is on the New York Yankees over the Chicago White Sox. Former Yankee Jose Contreras was originally slated to start this game but an injury to Bartolo Colon moved Contreras up to the Wednesday start and now the Sox will move righthander Gavin Floyd up one day to start in this one. Yankee lefthander Andy Pettitte has been in the Majors 15 seasons and he goes from facing a starter that is a year older than him in Contreras to now facing somebody who is 11 years younger. Both of these starters have the same record at 8-6, but Pettitte has won his eight games with an ERA more than 1/2 run higher than Floyd, a testament to the excellent run support that the Bombers usually provide for the veteran southpaw. This is especially true when Pettitte pitches on the road, as in his last five starts away from Yankee Stadium in 2009, his pin-striped teammates have scored a total of 35 runs and they are 4-1 in those games. Floyd hasn't faced the Yanks this season, but in the last two years, he's made three appearances against them and it hasn't been pretty as Floyd has a 6.75 ERA in 16 innings. Heading into this series, New York has won 10 of the last 13 meetings, including five of the last six played in Chicago. Take the Yankees. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. Al McMordie is ON ABSOLUTE FIRE! Yesterday, Big Al released one of his Famous Roadkill plays, and the Cubs CRUSHED the Astros 12-0. Al is on a RED-HOT 15-2-1 RUN, and has a HUGE SIDE WINNER in National League action today. Get on it! | ||
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| MLB | Jul 30 Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox | Total 9½ un-120 at SPBOOK | 49min. |
| Take the Boston Red Sox Under 9.5, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and both of these starters have pitched solid lately. Jon Lester (9-7, 3.79 ERA) has an ERA of just 1.83 since May.31 which leads all AL starters and opponents are hitting just .202 against him over his last 10 starts. Gio Gonzalez (2-2, 7.75) is coming off his best start of the season holding a very powerful Yankees line-up to just 1 earned run and 2 hits over 6.7 innings and that was in New York where the balls have been flying out this season. The O/U is 0-8 for the Red Sox in their last 8 home games against a lefty starter and the O/U is 1-7-1 in Lester's last 9 starts after a quality start in his last outing. With the first 3 games in this series going over the posted total I look for a pitchers dual here Thursday afternoon. Take the Under 9.5 as my MLB Free Play for Thursday afternoon. Vernon Croy's 23-12 MLB Run continues right here Thursday afternoon with his MLB Totals Top Play so make sure you get on it now. | ||
| MLB | Jul 30 Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Philadelphia Phillies -125 at BODOG | > 9h. |
| The Phillies travel to The City by the Bay for a four-game series against the host San Francisco Giants with the first game set for Thursday night at 10:15PM Eastern Time. The Phillies are 40-21 (+16.5) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons and 20-9 (+13.9) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Philadelphia will face a Giants defense that has only allowed 3.7 runs per game this season. That is not a concern as we see the Phillies are 51-26 (+25.7) when facing NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs per game on the season the last 2 seasons. Philadelphia will send right-hander Rodrigo Lopez to the bump with his 3-0 record and ERA of 3.09. The Giants will counter with Jonathan Sanchez who is 3-9 with an ERA of 4.92 this season. Both teams have played well in the home/road situation with Philly going 31-15 for +18.8 units on the road while the Giants are 33-15 at home for +16.7 units. The runs scored differential favors the Phillies here with a 5.5 runs per game average on the road and the Giants only average 4.6 runs per game at home. The differential increases when comparing them against each teams starter with the Phillies averaging 5.5 runs per game against left-handed starters and the Giants are averaging 4.0 runs per game when facing right-handed starters. On the technical front we see that the Phillies are 22-5 their last 27 games as a road favorite and 9-2 their last 11 when installed as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants are 7-19 the last 26 starts by Sanchez when he is an underdog and 6-22 overall in his last 28 trips to the bump. We will back the champs here as they grab a victory in game one over the Giants on Thursday night. Graded Selection: 2* Philadelphia Phillies 4 San Francisco Giants 3 | ||
| MLB | Jul 30 Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers -1½-125 at BOOKM | > 1h. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 -125 Milwaukee snapped Washington's four-game winning streak last night and I like the Brew Crew to build off that win with an even more impressive performance this afternoon. The Nationals are just 2-8 in their last 10 meetings in Milwaukee, 11-50 in their last 61 road games vs. a right-handed starter, and a pathetic 27-81 in their last 108 games following a loss. The Beer Makers have the big advantage tonight with Gallardo on the hill as he enters this matchup with a 3.03 home ERA and is coming off a brilliant shut out performance against Atlanta. The Brewers are 7-3 in Gallardo's last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 24-5 in their last 29 games as a favorite of -201 or greater. Bet the Brewers on the run line for a unit. | ||
| MLB | Jul 30 Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets | New York Mets -145 at BETUS | Started |
| Colorado @ NY Mets 12:10 PM EST Play On: NY Mets (Hammel/Santana) Listed NY Mets are 5-1 this year after shutting out their opponent. NY Mets have now won 4 in a row. NY Mets bullpen has a 3.61 ERA overall this year and a 3.26 ERA at home this season. Jason Hammel is 0-1 with a 5.52 ERA his last 3 starts. Johan Santana is 11-8 with a 3.12 ERA overall this year, 7-2 with a 1.86 ERA at home and 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA his last 3 starts. NY Mets are 7-1 at home vs Colorado the past 3 years. We'll recommend a small play on the NY Mets today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky | ||
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| MLB | Jul 30 San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds | San Diego Padres +1½-145 at SIA | Started |
| The San Diego Padres have handled the Reds thus far, and may have their best chance yet in this one. The Reds are short of players and Johny Cueto is pitching about as bad as he has in his brief career, carrying an 8.65 ERA into this one. The Reds are also mired in a deep slump as they have only cashed four of their last 18 games. I'm going with the Padres on the runline in this one. | ||
| MLB | Jul 30 Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins | Atlanta Braves -151 at 5DIMES | > 6h. |
| Atlanta is 6-0 off a loss and they are 6-1 their last 7 games as favorites. The Braves are 11-5 vs. NL East teams and they are 13-5 their 18 games vs. a team with a winning record. Florida is 3-12 their 15 games as home underdogs and they are 4-17 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Marlins are 4-9 vs. winning teams and they are 2-6 with Rick Vanden Hurk vs. winning teams. PLAY ON ATLANTA - (Vazquez vs. Vanden Hurk) | ||
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