| MLB | Jul 28 Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona D-Backs | Total 7½ un+100 at BOOKM | |
| Take Under 7.5 Runs 1-DIME PLAY (1-5SCALE) Despite how well the Phillies have hit vs. RHP as of late and over their career they will face Danny Harren for the 1st time for some of the key players on this team. Ryan Howard has never faced him as Harren has no pitched against them since 2003 when he was with the Cardinals. In limited at bats Rollins, Utley, Werth, and Feliz have a combined 5-33 (.151average) against Harren. The line opened up with the Diamondbacks being favored at -130, but has dropped significantly to -112 and I think it is not because Vegas expects Harren to pitch poorly but rather for Cole Hamels to have a great outing. Last night another Phillies lefty went 6.2 IP giving up 0ER. Cole Hamels in his career is 2-0 12.2IP giving up 3ER vs. the Diamondbacks. He has struggled a bit on the road, but he'll be going up against an offense I think he'll have success against with his change up. Hamels has just 5 BB's in his last 5 starts something I think he'll build on here today facing a team he should be able to beat. The Under is 10-4 in Harren's last 14 vs. a team with a winning records. A stat I love because it just proves he gets up for big games against winning teams. Expect a pitching duel here today folks. | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins | Florida Marlins +110 at SIA | > 1h. |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on Florida Marlins +110 Both of these teams enter this series playing well, but I'll side with the home team at an underdog price tonight. One of the major keys is that the Braves are 0-7 in Jurrjens' last 7 starts during game 1 of a series while the Marlins are 18-6 in Nolasco's last 24 starts during game 1 of a series. Research also shows that the Braves are in a letdown spot tonight as they are only 1-14 in road games after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons and 1-10 in road games after scoring 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The Marlins are a perfect 8-0 in Nolasco's last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. He's coming off a 2-hit gem in San Diego and I like him to lead the Fish to a victory this evening. | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins -123 at BOOKM | > 2h. |
| At 8:10pm our complimentary selection is on the Minnesota Twins over the Chicago White Sox. White Sox ace Mark Buehrle did something in his last start (throwing a perfect game) that only 17 other pitchers in history have done. Moreover, his perfect game against the Tampa Bay Rays was his second career no-hitter. To say that a letdown tonight against the Twins in Minnesota is a possibility may be an understatement. It's only been two starts, and about two weeks since Buehrle had his worst start of the season in the Metrodome on July 12, his last start before the All-Star break. It was extremely ugly and Buehrle's only loss in his last five starts. He will face the same Minnesota starter that he faced that day -- righthanded veteran Scott Baker. Since Baker's win 16 days ago, he has had two more starts (both on the road) and pitched very well, surrendering only three earned runs in 13 innings. The Twins will no doubt be happy to be back home for this series after a nine-game road trip as they are 29-20 at home vs. 21-30 on the road. That win on July 12 over the Sox was par for the course as the Twins have won nine of the last 11 games that these two teams have played at the Metrodome. Take the Twins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. Al McMordie CONTINUED HIS RED-HOT ROLL on Monday, as he CA$HED his Totals play on the 'under' in the Cubs/Astros game. Congrats to all who joined. Big Al's now a SCORCHING HOT 13-2-1 in the 2nd Half of the Baseball season, and has a SIDE WINNER for you today. Go get it. | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees -137 at JAMAICA | > 1h. |
| Craig's top plays are smoking hot 12-2 since the all star break and 2-0 yesterday!! Get in today as Craig has his top UNDERDOG of WEEK going TUESDAY. Craig's Underdog plays are 2-0 the last three weeks! GUARANTEED! Good news for everyone Craig's free plays are equally as hot going 11-2 since the break. Today we look to continue the hot streak! NYY -137: The hottest team in the league winning 10 of 11 since the all star break. They exploded yesterday dismantling TB winning 11-4. Good news for the Yankees they have ace Sabathia going today trying to win his third win in a row. CC is a second half pitcher and is just starting to get warmed up. Historically Sabathia has been great vs TB with a 7-1 2.63 ERA in 12 career starts. The bats of the NYY have been smoking averaging over 8 runs the last 15 games. On the other side they face Kazmir on the mound who has not been good this year. In fact his ERA is approaching 7.00 ERA this season. Historically he has been great against the NYY but he just does not have the same velocity or command he had last year. The NYY will dominate Kazmir early and often and extend there hot streak. EASY m/l Winner. SCORE NYY 8 - TB 3 | ||
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| MLB | Jul 28 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners | Toronto Blue Jays OFF at BODOG | > 4h. |
| The Toronto Blue Jays were in first place in the tough American League East for awhile, but went into a tailspin that saw them go 6-17 and dip below the .500 mark. They have now gotten it turned around winning their last two, and whipping up on Felix Hernandez who was untouchable over the past two months. They will get another hot pitcher in Jerrod Washburn tonight, but the Mariners are in a colossal struggle right now. The M's have dropped four straight, but that isn't all the story. They have been manhandled to the tune of 42-10 in the four games. For as good as he has been lately, Washburn is just 16-36 in his last 52 starts on grass. This looks like a live dog here and I'll play the Blue Jays in this one. | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles | Total 10½ un-115 at BOOKM | > 1h. |
| Got my ass handed to me on the Dodgers last night as a 2 Unit Top Play. On a 10-3 run now, but that one stung a bit. After pulling Wolf with a 2-1 deficit, the Cards poured it on the bullpen for LA, and I lost a rare top play. The Dodgers could not stop stranding runners! Anyway no excuses, just solutions boys.
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| MLB | Jul 28 Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs | Houston Astros +109 at 5DIMES | > 2h. |
| Take the Houston Astros on the Moneyline, We are getting solid value here Tuesday night with the Astros who have Roy Oswalt (6-4, 3.66 ERA) on the mound. Oswalt has pitched solid on the road this season with an ERA of just 3.37 allowing just 56 hits over 72 innings while striking out 52 batters. Oswalt has also pitched solid over his last 3 starts with an ERA of just 2.86 while lasting an average of 7.3 innings per start. This is Ryan Dempster's (5-5, 4.09 ERA) first start since July.2 so I do not expect him to throw deep into this game and both teams bullpens are not rested since last night's game went into the 13th inning. The Cubs are just 1-5 in Dempster's last 6 starts and the Astros are a perfect 5-0 in Oswalt's last 5 starts coming into Tuesday night's game. The Cubs are 0-4 in Dempster's last 4 starts against the Astros and they are just 3-6 when he has pitched at night this season. Take the Houston Astro's as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday night. Vernon Croy crushed the books again last night cashing his 5* MLB NL Game of the Month with the Chicago Cubs winning 5-1 with the long ball! Vernon Croy's Huge 20-10 MLB Run continues right here with his MLB SMASH which is his only play released for Tuesday! Get on it now! | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs | Houston Astros +109 at 5DIMES | > 2h. |
| Game Two of this three-game series at Wrigley Field between the host Chicago Cubs and the visiting Houston Astros is set for Tuesday night with the first pitch at 8:05PM EST. Houston even though they do not have a winning record on the road the last two seasons they have been profitable for their backers posting a record of 61-65 for +13.1 Units. During the second half of the season the last two years they have been solid going 60-41 for +23.7 Units. The Astros will send Roy Oswalt to the bump with his 6-4 record and ERA of 3.66 on the season. He will face a Cubs team that is ranked 25 in hitting averaging .252 at the plate scoring 4.3 runs per game. Oswalt is 4-2 on the road with an ERA of 3.37 and 1-0 his last three outings with an ERA of 2.86 with the Astros 3-0 behind him over that span. He is also 15-4 (+10.9) during the second half of the season the last two years and 23-4 (+18.3) when facing a winning team with a win percentage of 51 to 54 percent. Chicago will send Ryan Demptser to the hill with his 5-5 record and ERA of 4.09. Dempster is 4-1 at home this season with a 4.12 ERA but over his last three trips to the mound he is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.91 while the Cubs are 1-2 behind him over that span. The Cubs are 2-5 in his last 7 as a favorite in this price range, 1-5 in Dempster’s last 6 overall and 0-9 if he is coming off a quality start in his last outing. With support for the visitor coming from both the fundamental and technical elements we will back them here as they get the game two victory at Wrigley Field on Tuesday night. Graded Selection: 2* Houston Astros 3 Chicago Cubs 1 | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona D-Backs | Total 7½ un+100 at BOOKM | > 4h. |
| Free Play for July 28, 2009 1 Unit on Phillies/D-backs UNDER 7.5 +100 Dan Haren has been unbelievable this season with a 2.14 ERA so it comes as no surprise that the Under is 10-4 in Haren's last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Phillies send Cole Hamels to the hill, and while he hasn't been the pitcher we saw dominate in the playoffs last fall, he figures to fare well tonight against one of the worst lefty pitching teams in baseball. The Snakes are scoring just 3.7 runs per game against lefty starters on the season. The Under is 5-1 in Hamels' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Under in this battle of aces. | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | New York Yankees -133 at 5DIMES | > 1h. |
| Free Play for 7/28/09 1 Unit on NY Yankees -133 The Yanks are on a tear, having won 10 of their last 11, and they get my support tonight at a reasonable price with Sabathia on the rubber, who is 7-1 lifetime when starting against Tampa Bay with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.034. Kazmir has really struggled this season, especially at home where he is just 1-3 with an ERA of 9.50 and a WHIP of 1.889 in 7 stars. The Yanks are torching lefty starters this season, hitting over .300 against them and scoring 5.8 runs per game. That kind of offensive production has helped them achieve a phenomenal 21-11 mark against southpaw starters this season. Tampa Bay has not been nearly as good against the lefty starters, scoring just 4.8 runs per game against them and hitting just .260. I'll back the Yanks in this battle of southpaws tonight. | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs | Houston Astros +103 at 5DIMES | > 2h. |
| Houston @ Chicago Cubs 8:05 PM EST Play On: Houston (Oswalt/Dempster) Listed Roy Oswalt is 6-4 with a 3.66 ERA overall this year, 4-2 with a 3.37 ERA on the road and 1-0 with a 2.86 ERA his last 3 starts. Dempster is 4-9 with a 4.80 ERA overall vs Houston since 1997. Astros are 15-6 in their last 21 games following a loss. Astros are 5-0 in Oswalts last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Astros are 5-0 in Oswalts last 5 starts. Astros are 5-0 in Oswalts last 5 starts on grass. Astros are 5-0 in Oswalts last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Astros are 8-2 in Oswalts last 10 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 4-1 in Oswalts last 5 road starts. Astros are 4-1 in Oswalts last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Cubs are 1-5 in Dempsters last 6 starts. Cubs are 1-5 in Dempsters last 6 starts on grass. Cubs are 1-6 in Dempsters last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Cubs are 0-5 in Dempsters last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Cubs are 0-9 in Dempsters last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Cubs are 0-4 in Dempsters last 4 starts vs. Astros. We'll recommend a small play on Houston tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners | Toronto Blue Jays +101 at 5DIMES | > 4h. |
| Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Toronto as they face Seattle set to start at 10:10 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 62-37 making 30.2 units since 1997. Play on road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that is a cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher sporting an ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games. Toronto is 17-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line versus an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season; 15-7 (+10.9 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better over the last 3 seasons. Seattle not in a good spot noting they are just 14-22 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. Seattle starter Washburn is just 13-28 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Toronto starter Rzepczynski has been quite good – better than management though – in his first 4 starts since his contract was purchased from Las Vegas. He has tremendous movement with all of his pitches as a result has some control issues. But, Batters are hitting only 177 against him and it will take at least 4 more starts before scouting reports catch up with this young talented starter. Washburn has been quite good in July sporting a 1.45 ERA, but 4 Toronto players are batting over 300 against him in their careers. Players are batting 298 on Washburn's fastball and Toronto has a lineup of hitters that can work the count in order to get FB situations. Take Toronto. | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals | Los Angeles Dodgers +106 at JAMAICA | > 2h. |
| InfoPlays Tuesday, July 28th Free Play: 3* on L.A. Dodgers +106 (Listing Billingsley) Reasons why the Dodgers win: 1.) L.A. is the owner of the best record in baseball, and any time you can get this team as an underdog it is a wise move to pull the trigger. This is especially the case with Ace Chad Billingsley on the mound. Billingsley is a 10-game winner with a 3.72 ERA on the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA on the road this season. 2.) The Dodgers are a PERFECT 10-0 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. They won’t be losing 3 in a row tonight. Also, L.A. is 17-8 as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. Bet the Dodgers on the road. | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins | Atlanta Braves -115 at SPBOOK | > 1h. |
| Martin’s Tuesday MLB Free Play: 1 Unit on Atlanta Braves -115 (Listing Jurrjens Only) Atlanta’s Jair Jurrjens is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He has been consistently brilliant all season, and even better of late. Jurrjens is 9-7 with a 2.67 ERA through 23 starts this season. In the month of July, Jurrjens is 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA where opposing hitters are batting .162. Jurrjens is 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA over his last 3 starts as well. Ricky Nolasco has been far from consistent, compiling a 7-7 record with a 5.42 ERA on the season. He's been anything but dominant against Atlanta. Nolasco posted a 10.57 ERA in three losses to the Braves in 2008, allowing 10 homers in 15 1-3 innings. McCann is 7 for 19 (.368) with two homers against Nolasco, while Chipper Jones is 9 for 16 (.563) with three home runs. The home team is 0-5 in the season series between the Braves and Marlins. Jurrjens is 9-1 against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) over the last 2 seasons. Cash in with the Braves as the favorite. | ||
| MLB | Jul 28 Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St Louis Cardinals | Los Angeles Dodgers +110 at SIA | > 2h. |
| Look for the Dodgers to bounce back here against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Dodgers lost to the Cardinals last night 6-1 but did have 11 hits in the game, 9 coming off Chris carpenter. The Dodgers faltered once they had men in scoring position. As a team the Dodgers were 3-15 with men in scoring position. The Dodgers hope to rebound behind Chad Billingsley (10-5, 3.72). The righty bounced back from his worst start of the year to hold Cincinnati to two runs while striking out seven in six innings of a 6-2 victory last week. The Cardinals will counter with Adam Wainwright (11-6, 2.95 ERA). The Dodgers are 21-7 as an underdog of +150 or less and have to good of an offense to be held to one run in back -to-back games. | ||
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