Tuesday, July 7, 2009

Tuesday's Free MLB Baseball Picks

Wunderdog
MLB | Jul 07
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
-138
at SPBOOK
> 8h.
Sometimes when you look over a game, you try to seek out and play against a team that is in their worst possible position to win. The Orioles fit that description tonight. They have played well at home, but on the road this young team has a tremendous drop-off offensively. The O's plate over five runs per game at home, but the road tally is just 3.8 and they are off a whitewash last night, which is their second problem. They are at their worst against left-hand pitching. The O's are scoring 5.3 against right handers, but just 3.8 against lefties, and face one of the top lefties in the game in Eric Bedard tonight. Bedard is 39-22 over the last four years, so I'm going with the Mariners in this one.

MLB | Jul 07
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets
Total
8½ un-105
at BETUS
> 5h.
LAD/NYM UNDER 8.5 -105 1 DIME PLAY

CHECK SITE FOR PODCAST FOR IN DEPTH ANALYSIS

MLB | Jul 07
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
-139
at SPBOOK
> 7h.
Free Play for 7/7/09
1 Unit on Colorado Rockies -138
Washington is just 9-30 on the road this season and 9-46 in its last 55 road games vs. a right-handed starter. I don't see the Nats beating the righty that Colorado is putting on the hill tonight as the Rockies are 7-1 in Hammel's last 8 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are 0-4 in Zimmermann's last 4 road starts and 0-4 in their last 4 meetings with the Rockies. Cash in with Colorado.

MLB | Jul 07
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds
+136
at 5DIMES
> 5h.
Ryan's 15* Titan 1st half Game of the Year has been released. He has had an amazing MLB 1st half and this is a play you cannot afford to miss. Join him now on a guaranteed winner!


Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Reds as the face the Phillies set to start at 7:05 EST. Phils have played well of late, but are in a series of poor roles for this game. We had them as a 3* winner yesterday as they won in a franchise record breaking fashion 22-1. Now, the tables will be turned and the Reds will prove that all a 22-1 loss is is just that – one loss. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 61-40 mark for 32.6 units won since 2003. Play against home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 with a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season in July games. Reds are 14-7 (+8.7 Units) against the money line versus poor fielding teams turning 0.8 or less DP's/game this season. Reds are a perfect 9-0 (+9.2 Units) against the money line revenging 2 straight losses where opposition scored 8 or more runs over the last 2 seasons.

MLB | Jul 07
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
-150
at BETUS
> 5h.
*MIND-BLOWING 14-1 (93%) Run on 5 Unit Top Plays!* What more evidence do you need? I cashed in a 3-1 Monday card with wins on the Cubs, Astros and Angels O 8.5! 28-13 (68%) MLB Run L15 Days & 12 of my last 15 Cards PROFIT! 55-34 (62%) Overall Run gaining +2260 Units! Now is the time to sign up with the DEFENDING 2008 MLB World Handicapping CHAMPION so you don't miss another day of profits! I am the No. 6 ranked MLB capper in '09 cashing in +1562 Units! Get my Tuesday MLB 3-Play Power Pack for $34.99 tonight! It features my 4 Unit AL Run Line of the Week and 3 Unit A's/Red Sox Sharp Play! Get ready for another top play winner in the form of my 5 Unit NL West Coast GAME OF THE MONTH! This play accompanies a *BRILLIANT 31-3 (91%) System* in my analysis giving you almost zero chance of losing!

Martin’s Tuesday MLB Free Play:

1 Unit on Philadelphia Phillies -150

(Listing Happ Only)

The Phillies are finally getting their bats going after scoring 22 runs in a 22-1 victory over the Reds yesterday. Philly is 4-0 in their last 4 games, outscoring their opponents 35-4 during this ridiculous stretch. Now they throw their most consistent starter this season in J.A. Happ to make it 5 straight victories. Happ is 5-0 with a 2.96 ERA this season, including 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA in his last 3 starts. Aaron Harang has been touched up on the road this season, going 1-5 with a 4.94 ERA away from home. Harang owns a 5.55 ERA in 8 career starts against Cincinnati, while Happ has never faced the Reds which really gives him an advantage tonight. The Reds are 1-10 in Harang’s last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Phillies are 45-17 in their last 62 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Cash in with the Phillies as the favorite.

MLB | Jul 07
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
-137
at 5DIMES
> 8h.
Free Play for July 7, 2009
1 Unit on Seattle Mariners -137
Seattle blanked Baltimore last night and the M's get the call at home again tonight. Home field has treated the Mariners well of late as they are 8-1 in their last 9 home games. They are also 14-3 in their last 17 games as a favorite. The M's send Bedard to the hill, who is 3-0 with an ERA of 2.00 over his last 3 starts, and the Mariners are 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Orioles have dropped 5 of the last 6 in this head to head series and I'll fade them tonight.

MLB | Jul 07
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
-155
at BETUS
> 7h.
InfoPlays Tuesday, July 7th Free Play:

3* on Colorado Rockies -155
(Listing Hammel and Zimmerman)

Reasons why the Rockies win:

1.) Colorado is 23-7 in their last 30 games overall. They should be nearly a -200 favorite tonight, but we’ll gladly take this discounted price as Tuesday’s free play. The Nationals are 9-46 in their last 55 road games against a right-handed starter and 10-43 in their last 53 road games against a team with a winning record. The Nationals are 2-7 in Zimmerman’s last 9 road starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts overall. The Rockies are 7-1 in Hammel’s last 8 starts overall.

2.) System Play. We’ll Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (WASHINGTON) - allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts. This is a 103-33 ML System hitting 75.7% over the last 5 seasons. Bet the Rockies at home.

MASSIVE 47-28 (63%) Run on Larry's 10* InfoPlays! These are Larry Cook's biggest releases on a daily basis, and $1,000/Unit Clients are up $162,000 During this Run! Larry releases 3 MLB Gems Tuesday night to bring home the bacon once again! Leading the charge is his 10* NL #1 GAME OF THE MONTH! This play features the best bet for your money in the National League for the ENTIRE MONTH OF JULY!

-=TOP PLAY=-
MLB | Jul 07
Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
-150
at SPBOOK
> 6h.
Take the Chicago White Sox on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the White Sox have the superior pitcher on the mound tonight. Mark Buehrle (8-2, 3.09 ERA) has pitched solid at home this season with an ERA of just 2.88 over 59.3 innings and the White Sox are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 games when Buehrle has started in game 1 of a series. The White Sox are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games against a lefty starter and Jeremy Sowers (2-6, 5.68) has struggled on the road this season with an ERA of 8.81 over 3 starts. The Indians are just 1-10 in Sowers last 11 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and they are just 0-9 in his last 9 road starts against a team with a winning record. Sowers is 0-5 in 6 career starts against the White Sox with an ERA of 7.72 and the White Sox are hitting .311 as a team over their last 7 games. Take the Chicago White Sox as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday night.

Vernon Croy is set to crush the books big time Tuesday night with his MLB Top Play after taking Monday off so make sure you get on his play now that is backed by a 100% perfect angle.

MLB | Jul 07
Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
-1½+120
at BETUS
> 6h.
Craig ended a super hot streak with his 5 star top plays of day. But that still puts Craig at 4-2 with his top plays the last 6 days. Don't miss out Craig's top 5 star MLB play of them month goes today. Today's free play is a Run Line winner in the AL today.

Betting Trends

-Indians are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

-Indians are 2-8 in Sowers' last 10 starts.

-White Sox are 6-2 in Buehrles last 8 home starts vs. Indians.

-White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.

CHW -1.5 (+125): Mark Buehrle has been one of the best pitchers in the league for years and recently he has shown why. His last three starts he is 2-0 with 1.71 ERA. The CHW have owned CLE recently sweeping them in CLE less than a month ago. This WhiteSox team has won 14 or last 20 games and many of these wins were on the road. Today for CLE Sowers will take the mound after several really poor starts. Less than a week ago he was pounded by this same CHW team. Sowers is 0-5 with a 6.23 ERA in six starts against the White Sox. In three outings against them this season, he's allowed 13 runs and 23 hits over 16 innings. At the plate CLE has been so up and down whereas CHW have been putting up an average of 5 runs per game in the last 15 games!! This one works out pretty easy Buehle goes 8 innings of 1 run baseball while the CHW batters take batting practice scoring at least 6 runs. SCORE CHW 6 - CLE 1

Don't miss out CRAIG'S top 5 star play of the month goes TODAY!!


MLB | Jul 07
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
-1½+100
at 5DIMES
> 5h.
FREE PLAY
1 Unit on Detroit Tigers -1.5 +100
The Tigers have dropped 3 in a row after giving away a lead to KC in the 8th last night. I expect them to be focused and ready to get back in the win column behind their ace tonight. Verlander has been sensational at home this season, going 4-0 with an ERA of just 1.11. Verlander is also a ridiculous 8-1 lifetime when starting against KC with an ERA of 2.21 and a WHIP of 1.086. I expect the bats to back Verlander up as well, as Royals lefty Bruce Chen hasn't won a start since Oct. 2, 2005. Plus, the Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Detroit on the run line.

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