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| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies -121 at JAMAICA | |
| The Phillies have gotten to the point where they have to almost be considered an automatic play-on right now. They have now won 13 of their last 14, which includes nine straight wins. The Phillies have been dominated with both their bats and their pitching staff as they have allowed just two runs or less in 10 of the 14 games, and one run or less in six of the 14, while the offense has exploded for 7.2 runs per game. Rich Harden is a top-of-the-staff pitcher for the Cubs, but he has had a bad season start to finish, and has been giving up the longball with high frequency. The Cubs are just 16-41 as a dog of +110 to +150 in their last 57, so you have to go with the scorching hot Phillies here. | ||
| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Dodgers -1½+105 at BOOKM | |
| Craig has been super hot going 10-0 since the All Star Break!! Today Craig will keep up his hot streak with his 5 star GRAND SLAM TOP PLAY OF WEEK!! Craig's Grand Slam Plays of week are 4-1 the last 5 weeks!! Now Craig's Free play is once again in the National League! LAD -1.5 (+105): The Dodgers are coming off a pounding of the Reds in Monday's game. All the big hitters got in the pounding of the Red's pitchers. Today the Reds send out Homer Bailey who has been so up and down this year. His major problem has been control problems as he is almost averaging a walk per inning. Not good news verse a very professional lineup in the Dodgers. The Dodgers will be licking there chops as they pound all over the Reds and there bullpen. On the other side LAD turn to Randy Wolf who is not dominating but is consistent. Count him in for 6 innings and only 2 runs. The Reds lineup has struggled all year and on the west coast road trips they are even worse. LAD in a romp here. SCORE LAD 9 - CIN 3 | ||
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| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs +120 at SIA | |
| Take the Chicago Cubs on the Moneyline, This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and I look for the Cubs to bounce back with Rich Harden (6-6, 5.06) on the mound. Harden's success has come away from Wrigley this season where he is 4-1 with an ERA of just 2.17 over 6 starts and he is 1-0 with an ERA of just 0.69 in 2 career starts last season against the Phillies. The Cubs are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games after allowing 5 or more runs in their previous game and they are 5-1 in Harden's last 6 starts against an NL East division opponent. Joe Blanton (6-4, 4.44 ERA) has pitched solid lately but the Phillies are just 0-4 in his last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. The Phillies are also just 2-7 in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning record and the Phillies opponents are hitting .270 against them at home this season. Grab the value with the Chicago Cubs as my MLB Free Play for Tuesday night. Vernon Croy cashed his last MLB Bookie Buster back on July.16 with the Colorado Rockies in a 10-1 ROUT! Get on his MLB BOOKIE BUSTER for Tuesday as it also cashes hands down as his 9-3 MLB Run continues! | ||
| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | Boston Red Sox -163 at SPBOOK | |
| Take Red Sox -165 2 DIMES (1-5SCALE) I love the Red Sox here tonight off a loss they are 11-4 in their last 15 following a loss. With nobody better than Josh Becket following a loss on the mound tonight. Texas has a .239 average against Beckett and Beckett has made two starts in Texas and carries a 0.75ERA in Arlington. Boston is 13-3 in his last 16 starts and 24-9 in his last 33 as a road favorite. He will face Tommy Hunter here tonight. Hunter in my opinion will get exposed here soon as he's making just his 5th start he's got good numbers no question, but 3 of the 4 teams he has faced are at the bottom of the league in hitting. You've got TB 4th, but then you have SEA 15th, OAK 28th, and SD 30th (last). He has one start against Boston last year where he could not get out of the 2nd inning he went 1.2IP 7H, 9ER. Expect Boston to win here tonight! | ||
| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | Tampa Bay Rays -119 at 5DIMES | |
| FREE PLAY 1 Unit on Tampa Bay Rays -119 I like the Rays in this bounce back spot with Jeff Niemann on the hill tonight. Niemann has been fantastic for the Rays this season and has even dialed it up a notch of late. The Rays are 12-4 in his 16 starts in 2009 and they are a perfect 3-0 over his last 3, during which he has posted an ERA of 1.33 and a WHIP of 1.082. In fact, the Rays are 10-1 in Niemann's last 11 starts, 8-1 in his last 9 road starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, and 6-0 in his last 6 starts during game 2 of a series. The Sox send Richard to the hill and I expect his struggled to continue against a lethal Tampa Bay lineup. Richard has an ERA of 7.59 at home this season and an even larger ERA of 11.81 over his last 3 starts. I'll back the Rays here as they send the better hurler to the mound. | ||
| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals | Los Angeles Angels -135 at BODOG | |
| In Game 2 of today's double header the red hot LAA Angels will be sending Rookie Sean O'Sullivan to the hill. O"Sullivan is 2-0 with an impressive 3.80 ERA. Both of O'Sullivan's victories have been on the road, where he has an even better 2.08 ERA. The Royals will counter with left hander, Bruce Chen, who comes in with an 0-4 mark and sky high 6.86 ERA. The leftie has lost all four of his starts this year and 11 straight decisions since his last win Oct. 2, 2005 If Chen doesn't last long, the Royals' bullpen has been horrible lately, going 0-3 with a 9.50 ERA over the past five games. In addition the Angels have been effective versus left handed starters this season going 18-10 overall. Take the Angels in this one | ||
| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees | Baltimore Orioles +165 at SIA | |
| Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Baltimore as they face the NYY set to start at 7:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 36-22 making 35 units since 1997. Play on all dogs with a money line of +100 or higher with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start and has struggled at times sporting an ERA >= 6.50 over his last 10 starts. The average play has been a +158.3 dog. Baltimore starter Hill has had an erratic season, but is 8-1 (+7.7 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. Yankees are 9-17 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after 4 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. On June 19th, Hill seemed to have things well under control having defeated the Phillies at Citizen’s Bank Park allowing just 2 ER in 6.7 IP. He uses a curve ball quite effectively throwing it 27% of the time overall, 36% with 2 strikes, and 38% when ahead in the count. His biggest problem was relying far too much on his FB (81% of the time) when behind in the count. He has now changed that percentage and has very good confidence throwing the curve at anytime in the count. Look for him to keep the Yankee hitters guessing and guessing wrong. Take Baltimore. | ||
| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies -121 at 5DIMES | |
| Free Play for 7/21/09 1 Unit on Philadelphia Phillies -121 The Phillies crushed the Cubs 10-1 Monday for their ninth straight win and I don't see the streak coming to an end just yet. The Cubs are scoring just 3.9 runs per game on the road this season and that's just not going to cut it with Rich Harden on the hill who has an ERA of 7.62 and a WHIP of 1.769 over his last 3 starts. The Phillies counter with the red hot Joe Blanton who is 2-0 with an ERA of 1.83 and a WHIP of 1.170 over his last 3 starts. The Cubs are just 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. Also, this is a huge game for the Phillies as they have played below .500 ball for so long at home this season and finally have a chance to get over the hump tonight. Take the Phillies. | ||
| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers -123 at 5DIMES | |
| Free Play for July 21, 2009 1 Unit on Milwaukee Brewers -123 After 17 straight wins against the Bucs, the Brew Crew finally fell to Pittsburgh last night. I fully expect the Brewers to get right back in the win column against their division rivals tonight behind the 8-4 Braden Looper. The Brewers are 4-0 in Looper's last 4 starts vs. the National League Central and Looper is 13-5 against the money line in road games when pitching against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. The Pirates are just 19-45 in their last 64 vs. the National League Central and 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win. Fade the Bucs tonight. | ||
| Free MLB Picks | July 21 Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Philadelphia Phillies -121 at JAMAICA | |
| Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia 7:05 PM EST Play On: Philadelphia (Harden/Blanton) Listed Chicago Cubs are 47-44 on the season while Philadelphia comes in with a 52-38 record this year. Chicago Cubs are 2-9 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Cubs are 301-341 -91.7 units since 1997 when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Philadelphia is 13-3 in July this year. Phillies have won 9 games in a row heading into tonight. Cubs are scoring only 3.9 runs per game on the road this year. Phillies are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall this year and 5.3 runs per game against right handed starters this season. Rich Harden is 1-2 with a 7.62 ERA his last 3 starts. Joe Blanton is 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on Philadelphia tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky | ||
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